Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Nordsjaelland v Viborg FF

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 14:04 UTC

Final: FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 Viborg FF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Nordsjaelland (Local)

Prediction 42.28%2.37fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.39%42.25%42.13%43.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.152.3050.00%46.12%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Viborg FF (Visit)

Prediction 32.05%3.12fair odd
EV -0.978%
Edge -0.317%
Kelly -0.468%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.93%32.08%32.16%33.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.882.903.0938.46%34.75%34.48%32.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.68%3.89fair odd
EV +0.142%
Edge +0.036%
Kelly +0.049%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.95%25.67%25.71%27.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.603.603.9032.26%27.79%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Nordsjaelland (Local): 42.28%; Viborg FF (Visit): 32.05%; Draw: 25.68%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.142%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42%EV -5.72%E -2.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%EV +0.142%E +0.036%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42%EV -5.72%E -2.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%EV +0.142%E +0.036%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.37%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -1.14%E -0.297%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.57%EV -9.53%E -4.45%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -1.40%E -0.364%K -0.493%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%EV -8.26%E -3.81%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -2.43%E -0.638%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 13:46
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:00
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 13:59
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -9.53%E -4.45%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:01
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -9.53%E -4.45%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 14:00
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.82%EV -4.03%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.45%EV -4.22%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 13:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 13:59
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.17%EV -9.53%E -4.45%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.17%EV -9.53%E -4.45%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -10.37%E -4.89%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:00
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 14:00
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -6.15%E -2.77%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.46%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 13:58
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -6.28%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.39%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.64%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -6.28%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 14:01
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.08%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.32%EV -0.978%E -0.317%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.59%EV -6.53%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 13:59
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 13:59
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:00
Bovada🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.61%EV -6.57%E -2.97%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.84%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:01
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 13:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.34%EV -12.06%E -5.80%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.63%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.09%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.36%EV -15.08%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -13.33%E -6.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.44%EV -16.68%E -6.42%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.15%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-19 14:00
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 14:00
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 13:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.41%EV -14.60%E -7.23%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.89%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.68%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.68%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 13:59
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.43%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.43%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:01
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 14:00
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 14:00
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 14:00
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 14:01
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -13.33%E -6.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 13:59
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -15.45%E -7.72%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.70%EV -16.04%E -6.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-19 14:00
Suprabets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.06%EV -6.15%E -2.77%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.02%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.91%EV -10.90%E -3.14%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 13:58
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 13:59
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 13:59
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 13:59
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 14:01
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -13.98%E -4.17%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -15.72%E -5.98%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -20.40%E -6.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-19 14:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-04-19 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-04-19 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.59%1.5%2026-04-19 14:01
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.59%1.5%2026-04-19 14:00
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%2.4%2026-04-19 14:01