La escuela de los momios

FC Nordsjaelland v Viborg FF

Inicio: 2026-04-19 14:04 UTC

Final: FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 Viborg FF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Nordsjaelland (Local)

Predicción 42.28%2.37momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -2.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.39%42.25%42.13%43.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.152.3050.00%46.12%46.51%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Viborg FF (Visitante)

Predicción 32.05%3.12momio equitativo
EV -0.978%
Ventaja -0.317%
Kelly -0.468%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.93%32.08%32.16%33.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.882.903.0938.46%34.75%34.48%32.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.68%3.89momio equitativo
EV +0.142%
Ventaja +0.036%
Kelly +0.049%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.95%25.67%25.71%27.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.603.603.9032.26%27.79%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42%EV -5.72%E -2.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%EV +0.142%E +0.036%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42%EV -5.72%E -2.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%EV +0.142%E +0.036%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.37%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -1.14%E -0.297%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 13:59
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.57%EV -9.53%E -4.45%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -1.40%E -0.364%K -0.493%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:00
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%EV -8.26%E -3.81%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -2.43%E -0.638%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 13:46
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:01
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:00
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:00
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 13:59
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -9.53%E -4.45%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:01
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -9.53%E -4.45%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:00
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 13:59
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 14:00
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.82%EV -4.03%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.45%EV -4.22%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 13:59
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.17%EV -9.53%E -4.45%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:00
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.17%EV -9.53%E -4.45%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -10.37%E -4.89%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:00
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 14:00
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -6.15%E -2.77%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.46%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 13:58
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -6.28%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 13:59
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.39%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.64%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -6.28%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 14:01
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.08%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.32%EV -0.978%E -0.317%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.59%EV -6.53%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 13:59
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 13:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 14:00
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:00
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 41.61%EV -6.57%E -2.97%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.84%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:01
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 13:59
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.34%EV -12.06%E -5.80%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.63%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 14:01
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.09%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.36%EV -15.08%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 14:00
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -13.33%E -6.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.44%EV -16.68%E -6.42%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.15%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-19 14:00
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 14:00
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 13:59
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.41%EV -14.60%E -7.23%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.89%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 14:00
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.68%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.68%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 13:59
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.43%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.43%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:01
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 14:00
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 14:00
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 14:00
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 14:01
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -13.33%E -6.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 13:59
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -15.45%E -7.72%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.70%EV -16.04%E -6.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-19 14:00
Suprabets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.06%EV -6.15%E -2.77%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.02%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.91%EV -10.90%E -3.14%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 13:58
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 13:59
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 13:59
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 13:59
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 13:59
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 14:01
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -13.98%E -4.17%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -15.72%E -5.98%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -20.40%E -6.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-19 14:01
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-04-19 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-04-19 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.59%1.5%2026-04-19 14:01
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.59%1.5%2026-04-19 14:00
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%2.4%2026-04-19 14:01