L’École des cotes

FC Nordsjaelland v Viborg FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 14:04 UTC

Score final : FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 Viborg FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Nordsjaelland (Local)

Prévision 42.28%2.37cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -2.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.39%42.25%42.13%43.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.152.3050.00%46.12%46.51%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Viborg FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.05%3.12cote équitable
EV -0.978%
Avantage -0.317%
Kelly -0.468%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.93%32.08%32.16%33.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.882.903.0938.46%34.75%34.48%32.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.68%3.89cote équitable
EV +0.142%
Avantage +0.036%
Kelly +0.049%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.95%25.67%25.71%27.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.603.603.9032.26%27.79%27.78%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42%EV -5.72%E -2.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%EV +0.142%E +0.036%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42%EV -5.72%E -2.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%EV +0.142%E +0.036%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.37%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -1.14%E -0.297%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 13:59
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.57%EV -9.53%E -4.45%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -1.40%E -0.364%K -0.493%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:00
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%EV -8.26%E -3.81%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -2.43%E -0.638%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 13:46
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:01
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:00
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.32%EV -8.68%E -4.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:00
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 13:59
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -9.53%E -4.45%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:01
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.55%EV -9.53%E -4.45%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:00
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 13:59
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -3.71%E -0.989%K -1.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 14:00
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.82%EV -4.03%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.45%EV -4.22%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 13:59
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.17%EV -9.53%E -4.45%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:00
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.17%EV -9.53%E -4.45%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -10.37%E -4.89%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:00
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 14:00
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.79%EV -6.15%E -2.77%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.46%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 13:58
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -6.28%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 13:59
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.39%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.64%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -6.28%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 14:01
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.08%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.32%EV -0.978%E -0.317%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.59%EV -6.53%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 13:59
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 13:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 14:00
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:00
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 41.61%EV -6.57%E -2.97%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.84%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:01
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 13:59
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.34%EV -12.06%E -5.80%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.63%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 14:01
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.09%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.36%EV -15.08%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 14:00
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -13.33%E -6.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.44%EV -16.68%E -6.42%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.15%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-19 14:00
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 14:00
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 13:59
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.41%EV -14.60%E -7.23%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.89%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 14:00
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.68%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.68%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 13:59
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.43%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -2.76%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.43%E -2.20%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:01
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 14:00
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 14:00
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 14:00
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -13.48%E -4.99%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 14:01
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -13.33%E -6.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 13:59
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -15.45%E -7.72%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.70%EV -16.04%E -6.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-19 14:00
Suprabets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.06%EV -6.15%E -2.77%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.02%EV -3.54%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.91%EV -10.90%E -3.14%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 13:58
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 13:59
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 13:59
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 13:59
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.11%E -4.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 13:59
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 14:01
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -13.98%E -4.17%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -11.22%E -5.34%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -15.72%E -5.98%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -20.40%E -6.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-19 14:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-04-19 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.5%2026-04-19 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.59%1.5%2026-04-19 14:01
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.59%1.5%2026-04-19 14:00
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.36%2.4%2026-04-19 14:01