Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Nordsjaelland v Brondby IF

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Nordsjaelland (Local)

Prediction 43.92%2.28fair odd
EV +0.146%
Edge +0.064%
Kelly +0.114%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.06%43.87%43.95%45.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.122.102.2851.28%47.10%47.62%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brondby IF (Visit)

Prediction 29.79%3.36fair odd
EV +1.30%
Edge +0.383%
Kelly +0.542%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.54%29.89%29.85%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.773.053.003.4036.10%32.83%33.33%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.28%3.80fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.385%
Kelly -0.524%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.15%26.24%26.19%27.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.66%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Nordsjaelland (Local): 43.92%; Brondby IF (Visit): 29.79%; Draw: 26.28%. For Brondby IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV +1.30%E +0.383%K +0.542%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV +1.30%E +0.383%K +0.542%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.03%EV -0.785%E -0.236%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -4.60%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 16:50
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.80%EV -4.69%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.97%EV -2.27%E -0.693%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.23%EV -8.28%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 16:50
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.17%E -0.975%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 16:35
GTbets🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.61%E -0.719%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.63%EV -3.47%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.51%EV -8.28%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 16:55
Suprabets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.96%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.50%EV -7.22%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 16:32
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -1.44%E -0.385%K -0.524%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 16:45
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 16:39
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.82%EV -6.44%E -3.02%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -5.25%E -1.65%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -8.54%E -2.45%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 16:34
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.02%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -6.15%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 16:34
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.15%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 16:44
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.15%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:34
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 16:43
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 16:48
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 16:50
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 16:50
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:34
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:34
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-07 16:40
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-07 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.31%EV +0.146%E +0.064%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -9.13%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -2.76%E -0.745%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.31%EV +0.146%E +0.064%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -9.13%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -2.76%E -0.745%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.76%E -0.745%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 16:35
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:53
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -6.88%E -3.25%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.96%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-07 16:45
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-07 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-07 16:55
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-07 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-07 16:54
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-07 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.05%E -0.919%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:20
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.05%E -0.919%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:20
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.05%E -0.919%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.05%E -0.919%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:20
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.05%E -0.919%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:20
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 16:20
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 16:20
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 16:20
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 16:20
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-07 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.50%EV -13.47%E -6.84%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.15%E -6.08%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.02%EV -13.00%E -4.45%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -11.96%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -4.69%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -13.60%E -4.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-07 16:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -14.19%E -4.93%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 16:15
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.43%EV -14.35%E -7.36%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.08%EV -14.19%E -4.93%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.48%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-07 16:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.40%EV -6.88%E -3.25%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -15.09%E -5.29%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 16:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.83%EV -12.15%E -6.08%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.76%EV -15.09%E -5.29%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.31%EV -8.64%E -4.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -16.58%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -11.96%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-07 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -12.15%E -6.08%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -16.58%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -18.53%E -5.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-07 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.06%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.13%EV -17.47%E -6.31%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.81%EV -18.53%E -5.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-07 16:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-07 16:50
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-07 16:50
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.27%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%2.0%2026-04-07 16:50