L’École des cotes

FC Nordsjaelland v Brondby IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-07 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Nordsjaelland (Local)

Prévision 43.92%2.28cote équitable
EV +0.146%
Avantage +0.064%
Kelly +0.114%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.06%43.87%43.95%45.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.122.102.2851.28%47.10%47.62%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Brondby IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.79%3.36cote équitable
EV +1.30%
Avantage +0.383%
Kelly +0.542%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.54%29.89%29.85%31.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.773.053.003.4036.10%32.83%33.33%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.28%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.385%
Kelly -0.524%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.15%26.24%26.19%27.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.66%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV +1.30%E +0.383%K +0.542%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 16:54
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV +1.30%E +0.383%K +0.542%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 16:55
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.03%EV -0.785%E -0.236%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -4.60%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 16:50
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.80%EV -4.69%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.97%EV -2.27%E -0.693%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.23%EV -8.28%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 16:50
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.17%E -0.975%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 16:35
GTbets2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.61%E -0.719%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.63%EV -3.47%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.51%EV -8.28%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 16:55
Suprabets2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.96%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.50%EV -7.22%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 16:32
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -1.44%E -0.385%K -0.524%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 16:45
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 16:39
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 16:55
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.82%EV -6.44%E -3.02%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -5.25%E -1.65%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -8.54%E -2.45%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 16:34
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.02%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -6.15%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 16:34
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.15%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 16:44
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.15%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 16:44
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:34
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 16:43
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 16:48
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 16:50
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 16:50
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:35
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:34
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:34
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-07 16:40
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-07 16:40
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.31%EV +0.146%E +0.064%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -9.13%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -2.76%E -0.745%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 16:20
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.31%EV +0.146%E +0.064%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -9.13%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -2.76%E -0.745%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 16:20
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.76%E -0.745%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 16:40
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 16:35
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:53
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -6.88%E -3.25%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.96%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-07 16:45
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-07 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-07 16:55
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-07 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-07 16:54
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-07 16:54
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.05%E -0.919%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:20
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.05%E -0.919%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:20
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.05%E -0.919%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.05%E -0.919%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:20
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.05%E -0.919%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:20
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 16:20
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 16:20
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 16:20
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 16:20
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:40
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-07 16:34
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.50%EV -13.47%E -6.84%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 16:35
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.15%E -6.08%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.02%EV -13.00%E -4.45%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -11.96%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -4.69%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -13.60%E -4.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-07 16:14
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -14.19%E -4.93%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 16:15
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.43%EV -14.35%E -7.36%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.08%EV -14.19%E -4.93%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.48%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-07 16:34
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.40%EV -6.88%E -3.25%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -15.09%E -5.29%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 16:14
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.83%EV -12.15%E -6.08%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.76%EV -15.09%E -5.29%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 16:35
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.31%EV -8.64%E -4.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -16.58%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -11.96%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-07 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -12.15%E -6.08%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -16.58%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -18.53%E -5.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-07 16:40
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.06%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.13%EV -17.47%E -6.31%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.81%EV -18.53%E -5.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-07 16:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-07 16:50
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-07 16:50
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.27%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%2.0%2026-04-07 16:50