La escuela de los momios

FC Nordsjaelland v Brondby IF

Inicio: 2026-04-07 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Nordsjaelland (Local)

Predicción 43.92%2.28momio equitativo
EV +0.146%
Ventaja +0.064%
Kelly +0.114%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.06%43.87%43.95%45.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.122.102.2851.28%47.10%47.62%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Brondby IF (Visitante)

Predicción 29.79%3.36momio equitativo
EV +1.30%
Ventaja +0.383%
Kelly +0.542%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.54%29.89%29.85%31.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.773.053.003.4036.10%32.83%33.33%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.28%3.80momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.385%
Kelly -0.524%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.15%26.24%26.19%27.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.66%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV +1.30%E +0.383%K +0.542%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 16:54
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV +1.30%E +0.383%K +0.542%G +0.007%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 16:55
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.03%EV -0.785%E -0.236%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -4.60%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 16:50
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.80%EV -4.69%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.97%EV -2.27%E -0.693%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.23%EV -8.28%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 16:50
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.17%E -0.975%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 16:35
GTbets2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.61%E -0.719%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.63%EV -3.47%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.51%EV -8.28%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 16:55
Suprabets2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.96%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.50%EV -7.22%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 16:32
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -1.44%E -0.385%K -0.524%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 16:45
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 16:39
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 16:55
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.82%EV -6.44%E -3.02%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -5.25%E -1.65%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -8.54%E -2.45%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 16:34
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.02%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -6.15%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 16:34
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.15%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 16:44
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.15%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 16:44
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:34
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 16:43
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 16:48
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 16:50
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 16:50
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:35
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:34
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:34
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-07 16:40
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-07 16:40
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.31%EV +0.146%E +0.064%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -9.13%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -2.76%E -0.745%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 16:20
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.31%EV +0.146%E +0.064%K +0.114%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -9.13%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -2.76%E -0.745%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 16:20
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.76%E -0.745%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 16:40
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 16:35
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:53
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -6.88%E -3.25%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.96%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-07 16:45
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-07 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-07 16:55
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-07 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-07 16:54
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.62%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-07 16:54
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.05%E -0.919%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:20
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.05%E -0.919%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:20
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.05%E -0.919%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.05%E -0.919%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:20
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -2.05%E -0.919%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 16:20
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 16:20
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 16:20
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 16:20
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 16:20
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:40
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-07 16:34
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.50%EV -13.47%E -6.84%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -12.11%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 16:35
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.15%E -6.08%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.02%EV -13.00%E -4.45%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -11.96%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -4.69%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -13.60%E -4.69%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-07 16:14
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -14.19%E -4.93%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 16:15
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.43%EV -14.35%E -7.36%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.08%EV -14.19%E -4.93%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.48%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-07 16:34
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.40%EV -6.88%E -3.25%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -15.09%E -5.29%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 16:14
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.83%EV -12.15%E -6.08%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.76%EV -15.09%E -5.29%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 16:35
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.31%EV -8.64%E -4.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -16.58%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -11.96%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-07 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -12.15%E -6.08%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -16.58%E -5.92%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -18.53%E -5.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-07 16:40
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.06%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.13%EV -17.47%E -6.31%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.81%EV -18.53%E -5.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-07 16:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-07 16:50
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-04-07 16:50
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.27%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%2.0%2026-04-07 16:50