La scuola delle quote

FC Nordsjaelland v AGF Aarhus

Inizio: 2026-04-23 16:00 UTC

Finale: FC Nordsjaelland 1–1 AGF Aarhus

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Nordsjaelland (Casa)

Previsione 33.02%3.03quota equa
EV +4.00%
Vantaggio +1.27%
Kelly +1.86%
Crescita +0.074%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.54%32.94%33.05%34.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.842.853.1538.46%35.22%35.09%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

AGF Aarhus (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.68%2.40quota equa
EV -2.04%
Vantaggio -0.869%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.57%41.75%41.71%43.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.022.192.202.3549.50%45.63%45.45%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.30%3.95quota equa
EV -1.84%
Vantaggio -0.474%
Kelly -0.638%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.44%25.32%25.24%26.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.623.653.8831.25%27.59%27.40%25.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.85%EV +4.00%E +1.27%K +1.86%G +0.074%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.58%EV -7.04%E -3.16%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -3.86%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 15:55
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.85%EV +4.00%E +1.27%K +1.86%G +0.074%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.58%EV -7.04%E -3.16%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -3.86%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 15:55
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV +0.698%E +0.229%K +0.341%G +0.002%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -10.80%E -5.04%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:24
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.698%E +0.229%K +0.341%G +0.002%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:55
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.698%E +0.229%K +0.341%G +0.002%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:54
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.698%E +0.229%K +0.341%G +0.002%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:54
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.698%E +0.229%K +0.341%G +0.002%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:54
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV +0.698%E +0.229%K +0.341%G +0.002%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -11.63%E -5.49%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:24
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV +0.698%E +0.229%K +0.341%G +0.002%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -11.63%E -5.49%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:25
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -0.952%E -0.317%K -0.476%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -11.63%E -5.49%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:55
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -0.952%E -0.317%K -0.476%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -11.63%E -5.49%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -0.952%E -0.317%K -0.476%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -12.46%E -5.93%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 15:25
GTbets2.96I 33.78%NM 32.43%EV -2.27%E -0.768%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.91%EV -4.54%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.66%EV -5.38%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 05:09
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -2.60%E -0.882%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.65%EV -13.30%E -6.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 15:24
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -2.60%E -0.882%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.73%EV -14.13%E -6.86%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 15:55
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.45%EV -3.59%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93%EV -5.79%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 15:55
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.45%EV -3.59%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93%EV -5.79%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 15:55
BetAnything2.92I 34.25%NM 32.45%EV -3.59%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93%EV -5.79%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 15:54
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -3.59%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.89%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 10:39
Pinnacle2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61%EV -4.91%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.19%EV -2.04%E -0.869%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.21%EV -2.85%E -0.742%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 15:45
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -4.91%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:54
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -4.91%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 15:50
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.67%EV -4.91%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.73%EV -15.80%E -7.82%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -12.72%E -3.69%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 15:55
Marathon Bet2.86I 34.97%NM 32.60%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.19%EV -7.88%E -3.56%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:55
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.86%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:35
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:15
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:54
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 15:34
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:54
Suprabets2.84I 35.21%NM 32.93%EV -6.23%E -2.20%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.04%E -3.16%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.14%EV -5.89%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 15:55
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -4.13%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -2.60%E -0.674%K -0.911%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 15:49
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.13%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:44
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.86%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:50
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 15:49
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 15:50
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 15:49
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 15:44
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 15:45
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 15:44
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 15:44
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:53
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -9.87%E -3.61%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.65%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV -1.84%E -0.474%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:55
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 15:50
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 15:44
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 15:45
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 11:14
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 15:34
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 15:35
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 15:34
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.79%EV -14.55%E -7.10%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 15:35
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 32.69%EV -11.52%E -4.30%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.13%EV -13.30%E -6.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.18%EV -11.96%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 15:34
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -13.17%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 15:44
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -14.16%E -5.45%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.68%EV -12.46%E -5.93%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 11:14
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.21%EV -14.16%E -5.45%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -14.55%E -7.10%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.67%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.78%EV -14.16%E -5.45%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -12.46%E -5.93%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.63%EV -19.04%E -5.95%K -8.66%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-23 15:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.25%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-04-23 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.25%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-04-23 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.25%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-04-23 15:50
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.25%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-04-23 15:50
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.17%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.86%1.8%2026-04-23 15:55