L’École des cotes

FC Nordsjaelland v AGF Aarhus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 16:00 UTC

Score final : FC Nordsjaelland 1–1 AGF Aarhus

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Nordsjaelland (Local)

Prévision 33.02%3.03cote équitable
EV +4.00%
Avantage +1.27%
Kelly +1.86%
Croissance +0.074%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.54%32.94%33.05%34.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.842.853.1538.46%35.22%35.09%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AGF Aarhus (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.68%2.40cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -0.869%
Kelly -1.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.57%41.75%41.71%43.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.022.192.202.3549.50%45.63%45.45%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.30%3.95cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.474%
Kelly -0.638%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.44%25.32%25.24%26.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.623.653.8831.25%27.59%27.40%25.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.85%EV +4.00%E +1.27%K +1.86%G +0.074%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.58%EV -7.04%E -3.16%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -3.86%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 15:55
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.85%EV +4.00%E +1.27%K +1.86%G +0.074%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.58%EV -7.04%E -3.16%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -3.86%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 15:55
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV +0.698%E +0.229%K +0.341%G +0.002%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -10.80%E -5.04%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:24
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.698%E +0.229%K +0.341%G +0.002%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:55
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.698%E +0.229%K +0.341%G +0.002%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:54
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.698%E +0.229%K +0.341%G +0.002%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:54
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.698%E +0.229%K +0.341%G +0.002%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:54
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV +0.698%E +0.229%K +0.341%G +0.002%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -11.63%E -5.49%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:24
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV +0.698%E +0.229%K +0.341%G +0.002%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -11.63%E -5.49%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:25
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -0.952%E -0.317%K -0.476%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -11.63%E -5.49%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:55
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -0.952%E -0.317%K -0.476%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -11.63%E -5.49%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -0.952%E -0.317%K -0.476%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -12.46%E -5.93%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 15:25
GTbets2.96I 33.78%NM 32.43%EV -2.27%E -0.768%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.91%EV -4.54%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.66%EV -5.38%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 05:09
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -2.60%E -0.882%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.65%EV -13.30%E -6.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 15:24
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -2.60%E -0.882%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.73%EV -14.13%E -6.86%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 15:55
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.45%EV -3.59%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93%EV -5.79%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 15:55
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.45%EV -3.59%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93%EV -5.79%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 15:55
BetAnything2.92I 34.25%NM 32.45%EV -3.59%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93%EV -5.79%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 15:54
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -3.59%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.89%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 10:39
Pinnacle2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61%EV -4.91%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.19%EV -2.04%E -0.869%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.21%EV -2.85%E -0.742%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 15:45
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -4.91%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:54
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -4.91%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 15:50
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.67%EV -4.91%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.73%EV -15.80%E -7.82%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -12.72%E -3.69%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 15:55
Marathon Bet2.86I 34.97%NM 32.60%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.19%EV -7.88%E -3.56%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:55
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.86%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:35
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:15
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:54
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 15:34
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:54
Suprabets2.84I 35.21%NM 32.93%EV -6.23%E -2.20%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.04%E -3.16%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.14%EV -5.89%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 15:55
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -4.13%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -2.60%E -0.674%K -0.911%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 15:49
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.56%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.13%E -1.79%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:44
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.86%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:50
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 15:49
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 15:50
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 15:49
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 15:44
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 15:45
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 15:44
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 15:44
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:53
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -9.87%E -3.61%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.65%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV -1.84%E -0.474%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 15:55
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.21%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 15:50
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 15:44
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 15:45
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 11:14
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 15:34
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 15:35
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 15:34
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.79%EV -14.55%E -7.10%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 15:35
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 32.69%EV -11.52%E -4.30%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.13%EV -13.30%E -6.39%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.18%EV -11.96%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 15:34
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -13.17%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -8.29%E -3.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 15:44
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -14.16%E -5.45%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.68%EV -12.46%E -5.93%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 11:14
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.21%EV -14.16%E -5.45%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -14.55%E -7.10%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.67%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.78%EV -14.16%E -5.45%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -12.46%E -5.93%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.63%EV -19.04%E -5.95%K -8.66%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-23 15:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.25%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-04-23 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.25%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-04-23 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.25%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-04-23 15:50
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.25%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-04-23 15:50
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.17%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.86%1.8%2026-04-23 15:55