Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Midtjylland v Viborg FF

Kickoff: 2026-05-04 17:00 UTC

Final: FC Midtjylland 3–3 Viborg FF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Midtjylland (Local)

Prediction 62.51%1.60fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -4.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.36%62.42%62.48%64.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.491.501.5672.46%67.27%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Viborg FF (Visit)

Prediction 16.64%6.01fair odd
EV +0.490%
Edge +0.081%
Kelly +0.097%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.83%16.68%16.72%18.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.655.495.506.0421.51%18.23%18.18%16.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.86%4.79fair odd
EV -0.933%
Edge -0.196%
Kelly -0.249%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.00%20.89%20.80%22.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.334.304.7526.67%23.08%23.26%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Midtjylland (Local): 62.51%; Viborg FF (Visit): 16.64%; Draw: 20.86%. For Viborg FF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.01. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.490%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.41%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.96%EV +0.490%E +0.081%K +0.097%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.64%EV -2.60%E -0.557%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-04 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -0.176%E -0.029%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -0.933%E -0.196%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 16:54
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -1.84%E -0.312%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 16:20
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.20%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.10%EV -2.01%E -0.341%K -0.410%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.70%EV -4.48%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -2.49%E -1.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV -3.50%E -0.604%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -2.49%E -1.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV -3.50%E -0.604%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 16:15
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -3.50%E -0.604%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -3.50%E -0.604%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -5.62%E -3.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 16:15
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -8.12%E -5.52%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.06%EV -8.74%E -5.99%K -19.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Suprabets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -5.17%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 16:18
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.10%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.83%EV -6.66%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.07%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.85%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.85%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.37%E -2.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:45
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.37%E -2.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:44
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.37%E -2.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.37%E -2.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:45
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.37%E -2.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:45
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -11.36%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 16:44
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -5.62%E -3.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.36%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 16:44
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.36%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 16:44
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.36%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.06%E -0.883%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 15:55
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 16:55
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 16:55
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.69%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 15:25
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -11.36%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 16:44
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 16:15
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 16:15
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -9.37%E -6.46%K -20.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-04 16:53
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.67%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.69%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-04 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.69%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-04 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 16:55
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 16:53
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -8.74%E -5.99%K -19.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -14.49%E -3.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.45%EV -10.62%E -7.42%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.58%EV -11.82%E -2.23%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-04 16:45
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -12.65%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -11.36%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-04 16:50
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -12.65%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-04 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.92%EV -8.12%E -5.52%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -15.15%E -2.97%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.53%EV -13.74%E -9.96%K -36.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.92%EV -15.15%E -2.97%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:55
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:55
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-04 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.48%EV -10.62%E -7.42%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-04 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 60.48%EV -12.49%E -8.92%K -31.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.58%EV -21.79%E -5.81%K -7.92%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-04 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.10%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -18.48%E -3.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-04 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.36%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.71%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.69%EV -22.64%E -4.87%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.94%EV -13.45%E -3.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-04 16:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.03%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.70%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.28%2.8%2026-05-04 16:55