L’École des cotes

FC Midtjylland v Viborg FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-04 17:00 UTC

Score final : FC Midtjylland 3–3 Viborg FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Midtjylland (Local)

Prévision 62.51%1.60cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -1.60%
Kelly -4.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.36%62.42%62.48%64.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.491.501.5672.46%67.27%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Viborg FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.64%6.01cote équitable
EV +0.490%
Avantage +0.081%
Kelly +0.097%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.83%16.68%16.72%18.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.655.495.506.0421.51%18.23%18.18%16.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.86%4.79cote équitable
EV -0.933%
Avantage -0.196%
Kelly -0.249%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.00%20.89%20.80%22.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.334.304.7526.67%23.08%23.26%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.41%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.96%EV +0.490%E +0.081%K +0.097%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.64%EV -2.60%E -0.557%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-04 16:55
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -0.176%E -0.029%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -0.933%E -0.196%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 16:54
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -1.84%E -0.312%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 16:20
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.20%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.10%EV -2.01%E -0.341%K -0.410%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.70%EV -4.48%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 16:55
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -2.49%E -1.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV -3.50%E -0.604%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 16:15
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -2.49%E -1.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV -3.50%E -0.604%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 16:15
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -3.50%E -0.604%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 16:20
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -3.50%E -0.604%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 16:20
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -5.62%E -3.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 16:15
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 16:20
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 16:55
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -8.12%E -5.52%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 63.06%EV -8.74%E -5.99%K -19.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Suprabets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -5.17%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 16:18
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 62.10%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.83%EV -6.66%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.07%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 16:05
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.85%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 16:15
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.85%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 16:15
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.37%E -2.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:45
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.37%E -2.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:44
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.37%E -2.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.37%E -2.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:45
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.37%E -2.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:45
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -11.36%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 16:44
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -5.62%E -3.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.36%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 16:44
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.36%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 16:44
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.36%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 16:44
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.06%E -0.883%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 15:55
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 16:55
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 16:55
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.69%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 15:25
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -11.36%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 16:44
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 16:15
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 16:14
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 16:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 16:15
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -9.37%E -6.46%K -20.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-04 16:53
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.67%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 16:44
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.69%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-04 16:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.69%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-04 16:20
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 16:55
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 16:53
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -8.74%E -5.99%K -19.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -14.49%E -3.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:45
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.45%EV -10.62%E -7.42%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.58%EV -11.82%E -2.23%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-04 16:45
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -12.65%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -11.36%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-04 16:50
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -12.65%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-04 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.92%EV -8.12%E -5.52%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -15.15%E -2.97%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 15:55
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 62.53%EV -13.74%E -9.96%K -36.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.92%EV -15.15%E -2.97%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:55
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:55
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:55
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-04 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.48%EV -10.62%E -7.42%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-04 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.48%EV -12.49%E -8.92%K -31.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.58%EV -21.79%E -5.81%K -7.92%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-04 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.10%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -18.48%E -3.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-04 15:55
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.36%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.71%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.69%EV -22.64%E -4.87%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.94%EV -13.45%E -3.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-04 16:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.03%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.70%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.28%2.8%2026-05-04 16:55