La escuela de los momios

FC Midtjylland v Viborg FF

Inicio: 2026-05-04 17:00 UTC

Final: FC Midtjylland 3–3 Viborg FF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Midtjylland (Local)

Predicción 62.51%1.60momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -4.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.36%62.42%62.48%64.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.491.501.5672.46%67.27%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Viborg FF (Visitante)

Predicción 16.64%6.01momio equitativo
EV +0.490%
Ventaja +0.081%
Kelly +0.097%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.83%16.68%16.72%18.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.655.495.506.0421.51%18.23%18.18%16.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.86%4.79momio equitativo
EV -0.933%
Ventaja -0.196%
Kelly -0.249%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.00%20.89%20.80%22.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.334.304.7526.67%23.08%23.26%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.41%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.96%EV +0.490%E +0.081%K +0.097%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.64%EV -2.60%E -0.557%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-04 16:55
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -0.176%E -0.029%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -0.933%E -0.196%K -0.249%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 16:54
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -1.84%E -0.312%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 16:20
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.20%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.10%EV -2.01%E -0.341%K -0.410%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.70%EV -4.48%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 16:55
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -2.49%E -1.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV -3.50%E -0.604%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 16:15
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.90%EV -2.49%E -1.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV -3.50%E -0.604%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.46%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 16:15
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -3.50%E -0.604%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 16:20
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -3.50%E -0.604%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 16:20
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -5.62%E -3.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 16:15
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 16:20
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 16:55
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -8.12%E -5.52%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 63.06%EV -8.74%E -5.99%K -19.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -4.34%E -0.754%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Suprabets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -5.17%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 16:18
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 62.10%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.83%EV -6.66%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.07%EV -6.56%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 16:05
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.85%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 16:15
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.85%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 16:15
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.37%E -2.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:45
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.37%E -2.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:44
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.37%E -2.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.37%E -2.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:45
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -4.37%E -2.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:45
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -11.36%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 16:44
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -5.62%E -3.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.36%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 16:44
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.36%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 16:44
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.36%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 16:44
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.06%E -0.883%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 15:55
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 16:55
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 16:55
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.69%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 15:25
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -11.36%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 16:44
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 16:15
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 16:14
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 16:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 16:15
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -9.37%E -6.46%K -20.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-04 16:53
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.67%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 16:44
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.69%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-04 16:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -8.49%E -1.54%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.69%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-04 16:20
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 16:55
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 16:53
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.48%EV -8.74%E -5.99%K -19.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -14.49%E -3.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:45
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.45%EV -10.62%E -7.42%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.58%EV -11.82%E -2.23%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-04 16:45
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.34%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -12.65%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -11.36%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-04 16:50
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -12.65%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-04 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.92%EV -8.12%E -5.52%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -15.15%E -2.97%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 15:55
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 62.53%EV -13.74%E -9.96%K -36.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.92%EV -15.15%E -2.97%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:55
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:55
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:55
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-04 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.48%EV -10.62%E -7.42%K -24.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-04 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.48%EV -12.49%E -8.92%K -31.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -16.81%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.58%EV -21.79%E -5.81%K -7.92%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-04 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.10%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -18.48%E -3.77%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-04 15:55
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.36%EV -9.99%E -6.94%K -22.71%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.69%EV -22.64%E -4.87%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.94%EV -13.45%E -3.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-04 16:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.03%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.70%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.28%2.8%2026-05-04 16:55