Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Midtjylland v SonderjyskE

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Midtjylland (Local)

Prediction 64.76%1.54fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -5.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.84%64.62%64.87%66.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.441.441.5075.19%69.67%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SonderjyskE (Visit)

Prediction 15.37%6.50fair odd
EV +1.47%
Edge +0.222%
Kelly +0.262%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 6.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.11%15.45%15.35%17.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.105.926.006.6019.61%16.89%16.67%15.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.86%5.03fair odd
EV -0.688%
Edge -0.138%
Kelly -0.172%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.38%19.93%19.78%21.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.574.605.0023.81%21.88%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Midtjylland (Local): 64.76%; SonderjyskE (Visit): 15.37%; Draw: 19.86%. For SonderjyskE (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.50. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.93%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.68%EV +1.47%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%EV -0.688%E -0.138%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 15:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.93%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.68%EV +1.47%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%EV -0.688%E -0.138%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 15:39
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.94%EV -5.44%E -3.73%K -11.84%G +0.000%6.57I 15.22%NM 14.65%EV +1.01%E +0.153%K +0.181%G +0.002%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.41%EV -1.48%E -0.299%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 15:49
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.47%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.58%EV +0.083%E +0.013%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.94%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 15:49
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.071%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 15:44
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -0.071%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -4.66%E -0.971%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 15:44
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.33%E -6.66%K -23.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -0.071%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:49
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.89%EV -3.15%E -0.499%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 15:30
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.89%EV -3.15%E -0.499%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.41%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV -3.91%E -0.626%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -4.66%E -0.971%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 15:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.41%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV -3.91%E -0.626%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -4.66%E -0.971%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 15:14
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.91%E -0.626%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 15:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -3.91%E -0.626%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.39%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -3.91%E -0.626%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -6.65%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 15:45
Suprabets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.99%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -4.68%E -0.755%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -6.65%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 15:37
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.16%EV -5.45%E -0.886%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 15:14
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 15:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 15:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 15:15
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 15:14
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.66%E -0.971%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 15:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 15:39
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.61%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 15:39
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.61%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.61%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 15:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.61%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 15:39
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.33%E -6.66%K -23.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 15:44
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.92%E -8.77%K -33.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 15:45
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.85%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 15.83%EV -8.22%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.32%EV -7.64%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.89%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -10.83%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 15:39
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -10.83%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 15:15
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -10.83%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -10.83%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -10.83%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 15:14
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 11:00
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 12:48
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 12:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.00%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 15:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.16%EV -8.68%E -6.16%K -21.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 15:39
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.61%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 15:39
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -9.33%E -6.66%K -23.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -14.00%E -3.23%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 15:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.95%EV -10.63%E -7.70%K -27.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.76%EV -13.91%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.29%EV -13.60%E -3.13%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 15:14
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -15.44%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 15:30
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.33%E -6.66%K -23.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -15.44%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.08%EV -11.27%E -8.23%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -15.44%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -12.61%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 64.47%EV -13.86%E -10.42%K -42.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.59%EV -15.44%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.94%EV -14.59%E -3.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-04 15:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.73%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -16.98%E -3.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -6.65%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 15:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.58%EV -10.63%E -7.70%K -27.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -16.98%E -3.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.17%EV -13.60%E -3.13%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 15:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -19.29%E -3.67%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 10:59
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -19.29%E -3.67%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -19.29%E -3.67%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 11:00
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -19.29%E -3.67%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.23%EV -9.98%E -7.18%K -25.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -21.59%E -4.23%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 15:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-04-04 15:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-04-04 15:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-04-04 15:50
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.11%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.79%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%0.7%2026-04-04 15:50
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.75%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.24%1.9%2026-04-04 15:50