La escuela de los momiosEspañol
FC Midtjylland v SonderjyskE
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Midtjylland (Local)
Predicción 64.76%1.54momio equitativo
EV -2.85%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -5.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.84%64.62%64.87%66.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.441.441.5075.19%69.67%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
SonderjyskE (Visitante)
Predicción 15.37%6.50momio equitativo
EV +1.47%
Ventaja +0.222%
Kelly +0.262%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.11%15.45%15.35%17.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.105.926.006.6019.61%16.89%16.67%15.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.86%5.03momio equitativo
EV -0.688%
Ventaja -0.138%
Kelly -0.172%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.38%19.93%19.78%21.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.574.605.0023.81%21.88%21.74%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.93%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.68%EV +1.47%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%EV -0.688%E -0.138%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-04 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.93%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.68%EV +1.47%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%EV -0.688%E -0.138%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-04 15:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.94%EV -5.44%E -3.73%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.57I 15.22%NM 14.65%EV +1.01%E +0.153%K +0.181%G +0.002% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.41%EV -1.48%E -0.299%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.47%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 6.51I 15.36%NM 14.58%EV +0.083%E +0.013%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.94%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.071%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 15:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -0.071%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -4.66%E -0.971%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 15:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.33%E -6.66%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -0.071%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.89%EV -3.15%E -0.499%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.89%EV -3.15%E -0.499%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.41%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV -3.91%E -0.626%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -4.66%E -0.971%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 15:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.41%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV -3.91%E -0.626%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -4.66%E -0.971%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 15:14 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.91%E -0.626%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 15:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -3.91%E -0.626%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 15:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.39%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -3.91%E -0.626%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -6.65%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 15:45 |
| Suprabets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.99%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -4.68%E -0.755%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -6.65%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 15:37 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.16%EV -5.45%E -0.886%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 15:14 |
| betPARX | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 15:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 15:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 15:15 |
| Casumo | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 15:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.66%E -0.971%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 15:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 15:39 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.61%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 15:39 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.61%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.61%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 15:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.61%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 15:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 15:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.33%E -6.66%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 15:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.92%E -8.77%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-04 15:45 |
| GTbets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.85%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 15.83%EV -8.22%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.32%EV -7.64%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.89%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -10.83%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 15:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -10.83%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 15:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -10.83%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 15:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -10.83%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -10.83%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 15:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 12:48 |
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 12:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.00%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.16%EV -8.68%E -6.16%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-04 15:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.61%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-04 15:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -9.33%E -6.66%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -14.00%E -3.23%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 15:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.95%EV -10.63%E -7.70%K -27.96%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.76%EV -13.91%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.29%EV -13.60%E -3.13%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-04 15:14 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -15.44%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 15:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.33%E -6.66%K -23.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -15.44%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-04 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.08%EV -11.27%E -8.23%K -30.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -15.44%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -12.61%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-04 15:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.47%EV -13.86%E -10.42%K -42.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.59%EV -15.44%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.94%EV -14.59%E -3.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-04 15:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.73%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -16.98%E -3.14%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -6.65%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 15:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.58%EV -10.63%E -7.70%K -27.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -16.98%E -3.14%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.17%EV -13.60%E -3.13%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-04 15:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -19.29%E -3.67%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 10:59 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -19.29%E -3.67%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -19.29%E -3.67%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -19.29%E -3.67%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.23%EV -9.98%E -7.18%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -21.59%E -4.23%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 15:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 15:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.11% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.79% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.75% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.02% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.24% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 15:50 |