L’École des cotes

FC Midtjylland v SonderjyskE

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Midtjylland (Local)

Prévision 64.76%1.54cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -1.90%
Kelly -5.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.84%64.62%64.87%66.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.441.441.5075.19%69.67%69.44%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SonderjyskE (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.37%6.50cote équitable
EV +1.47%
Avantage +0.222%
Kelly +0.262%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 6.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.11%15.45%15.35%17.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.105.926.006.6019.61%16.89%16.67%15.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.86%5.03cote équitable
EV -0.688%
Avantage -0.138%
Kelly -0.172%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.38%19.93%19.78%21.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.574.605.0023.81%21.88%21.74%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.93%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.68%EV +1.47%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%EV -0.688%E -0.138%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 15:39
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.93%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.68%EV +1.47%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%EV -0.688%E -0.138%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 15:39
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 65.94%EV -5.44%E -3.73%K -11.84%G +0.000%6.57I 15.22%NM 14.65%EV +1.01%E +0.153%K +0.181%G +0.002%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.41%EV -1.48%E -0.299%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 15:49
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.47%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.58%EV +0.083%E +0.013%K +0.015%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.94%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 15:49
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.071%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 15:44
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -0.071%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -4.66%E -0.971%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 15:44
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.33%E -6.66%K -23.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -0.071%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:49
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.89%EV -3.15%E -0.499%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 15:30
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.89%EV -3.15%E -0.499%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 15:30
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.41%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV -3.91%E -0.626%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -4.66%E -0.971%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 15:14
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.41%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV -3.91%E -0.626%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -4.66%E -0.971%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 15:14
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.91%E -0.626%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 15:39
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -3.91%E -0.626%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 15:45
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.39%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -3.91%E -0.626%K -0.746%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -6.65%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 15:45
Suprabets1.44I 69.44%NM 64.99%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -4.68%E -0.755%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -6.65%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 15:37
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.16%EV -5.45%E -0.886%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 15:50
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 15:14
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 15:14
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 15:14
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 15:15
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -4.80%E -3.26%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 15:14
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.66%E -0.971%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 15:39
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 15:39
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.61%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 15:39
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.61%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.61%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 15:39
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -12.61%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 15:39
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 15:45
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.33%E -6.66%K -23.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 15:44
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.92%E -8.77%K -33.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -7.76%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 15:45
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 63.85%EV -4.15%E -2.80%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 15.83%EV -8.22%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.32%EV -7.64%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.89%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -10.83%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 15:39
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -10.83%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 15:15
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -10.83%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 15:15
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -10.83%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -10.83%E -1.87%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 15:14
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -2.85%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 11:00
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 12:48
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 12:49
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.00%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 15:39
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 64.16%EV -8.68%E -6.16%K -21.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 15:39
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.61%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 15:39
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -9.33%E -6.66%K -23.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -11.60%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -14.00%E -3.23%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 15:44
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.95%EV -10.63%E -7.70%K -27.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.76%EV -13.91%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.29%EV -13.60%E -3.13%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 15:14
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -15.44%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 15:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.33%E -6.66%K -23.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -15.44%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 15:45
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.08%EV -11.27%E -8.23%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -15.44%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -12.61%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 15:40
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.47%EV -13.86%E -10.42%K -42.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.59%EV -15.44%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.94%EV -14.59%E -3.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-04 15:39
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.73%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -16.98%E -3.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -6.65%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 15:39
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.58%EV -10.63%E -7.70%K -27.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -16.98%E -3.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.17%EV -13.60%E -3.13%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 15:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -19.29%E -3.67%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 10:59
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -19.29%E -3.67%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -19.29%E -3.67%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 11:00
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -19.29%E -3.67%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.58%E -3.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.23%EV -9.98%E -7.18%K -25.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -21.59%E -4.23%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -10.62%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 15:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-04-04 15:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-04-04 15:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-04-04 15:50
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.11%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.79%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%0.7%2026-04-04 15:50
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.75%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.24%1.9%2026-04-04 15:50