Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Midtjylland v FC Nordsjaelland

2026-09-07 17:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Midtjylland (Local)

Prediction 46.58%2.15fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -4.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.42%46.62%46.57%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.941.952.0555.25%51.51%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Nordsjaelland (Visit)

Prediction 28.38%3.52fair odd
EV +5.02%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +1.86%
Growth +0.093%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.95%28.39%28.38%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.313.303.7033.33%30.24%30.30%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.03%3.99fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.284%
Kelly -0.380%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.70%25.00%25.06%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.663.653.9530.30%27.30%27.40%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Midtjylland (Local): 46.58%; FC Nordsjaelland (Visit): 28.38%; Draw: 25.03%. For FC Nordsjaelland (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.70, producing a positive expected value of +5.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.75%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV +5.02%E +1.36%K +1.86%G +0.093%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 02:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.75%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV +5.02%E +1.36%K +1.86%G +0.093%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 02:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -12.42%E -6.61%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV +0.762%E +0.215%K +0.299%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 02:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -12.42%E -6.61%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV +0.762%E +0.215%K +0.299%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 02:55
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -12.42%E -6.61%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV +0.762%E +0.215%K +0.299%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 02:55
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -12.42%E -6.61%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV +0.762%E +0.215%K +0.299%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 02:55
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -12.89%E -6.89%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -0.657%E -0.188%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 02:55
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -13.82%E -7.47%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 02:55
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -13.82%E -7.47%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 02:50
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.10%EV -7.30%E -3.67%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -8.23%E -4.18%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.03%EV -14.75%E -8.06%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.03%EV -14.75%E -8.06%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-01 02:55
GTbets🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.30%EV -4.97%E -2.44%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.11%EV -4.63%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.59%EV -7.63%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.95%EV -15.68%E -8.67%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 02:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.95%EV -15.68%E -8.67%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 02:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.95%EV -15.68%E -8.67%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 02:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.50%E -2.20%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 22:30
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 21:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 21:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 17:20
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 17:20
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.89%E -4.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 17:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -2.37%E -0.608%K -0.818%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 17:20
Suprabets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.85%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.39%EV -8.32%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 25.76%EV -10.88%E -3.06%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 17:29
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -2.37%E -0.608%K -0.818%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 17:19
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.70%E -4.44%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 17:20
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -7.76%E -3.92%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 22:30
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 19:33
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 17:20
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -4.50%E -2.20%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 19:29
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -4.50%E -2.20%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.95%EV -12.42%E -6.61%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -17.39%E -5.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-31 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -10.56%E -5.50%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -13.43%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -13.64%E -3.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-31 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.42%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.45%EV -13.43%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.13%EV -16.89%E -5.09%K -7.28%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-31 23:54
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 19:29
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-31 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.62%EV -11.49%E -6.05%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.49%EV -14.89%E -4.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-31 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%13.9%2026-08-31 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-08-31 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-08-31 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-31 15:20