StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Midtjylland v FC Nordsjaelland

2026-09-07 17:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Matchresultat

42 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Midtjylland (Hemma)

Prognos 46.58%2.15rättvist odds
EV -4.50%
Fördel -2.20%
Kelly -4.29%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.42%46.62%46.57%49.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.811.941.952.0555.25%51.56%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

FC Nordsjaelland (Borta)

Prognos 28.38%3.52rättvist odds
EV +5.02%
Fördel +1.36%
Kelly +1.86%
Tillväxt +0.093%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.95%28.39%28.38%30.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.313.303.7033.33%30.24%30.30%27.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.03%3.99rättvist odds
EV -1.12%
Fördel -0.284%
Kelly -0.380%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.70%25.00%25.06%26.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.673.653.9530.30%27.27%27.40%25.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: FC Midtjylland (Hemma): 46.58%; FC Nordsjaelland (Borta): 28.38%; Oavgjort: 25.03%. För FC Nordsjaelland (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.52. 6 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.70, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +5.02%.

Spelbolagsodds (42 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.75%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV +5.02%E +1.36%K +1.86%G +0.093%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 02:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.75%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV +5.02%E +1.36%K +1.86%G +0.093%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.31%EV -1.12%E -0.284%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 02:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -12.42%E -6.61%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV +0.762%E +0.215%K +0.299%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 02:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -12.42%E -6.61%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV +0.762%E +0.215%K +0.299%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 02:55
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -12.42%E -6.61%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV +0.762%E +0.215%K +0.299%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 02:55
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -12.42%E -6.61%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV +0.762%E +0.215%K +0.299%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 02:55
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -12.89%E -6.89%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -0.657%E -0.188%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 02:55
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -13.82%E -7.47%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 02:55
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -13.82%E -7.47%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -2.08%E -0.602%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 02:50
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.10%EV -7.30%E -3.67%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -8.23%E -4.18%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.38%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.03%EV -14.75%E -8.06%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.03%EV -14.75%E -8.06%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-01 02:55
GTbets🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.30%EV -4.97%E -2.44%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.11%EV -4.63%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.59%EV -7.63%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.95%EV -15.68%E -8.67%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 02:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.95%EV -15.68%E -8.67%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 02:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.95%EV -15.68%E -8.67%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -4.91%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 02:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -2.37%E -0.608%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 04:05
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 21:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -8.63%E -2.36%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 21:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -11.13%E -3.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.88%E -2.75%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 17:20
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 17:20
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.33%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.89%E -4.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 17:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.75%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -2.37%E -0.608%K -0.818%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 17:20
Suprabets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.85%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.39%EV -8.32%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 25.76%EV -10.88%E -3.06%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 17:29
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -2.37%E -0.608%K -0.818%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 17:19
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.70%E -4.44%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 17:20
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 19:33
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.83%EV -8.70%E -4.44%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 04:05
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.17%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 17:20
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -4.50%E -2.20%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 19:29
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -4.50%E -2.20%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.88%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.95%EV -12.42%E -6.61%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -12.01%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -17.39%E -5.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-31 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -10.56%E -5.50%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -13.43%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -13.64%E -3.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-31 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.42%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.45%EV -13.43%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.13%EV -16.89%E -5.09%K -7.28%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-31 23:54
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -6.83%E -3.42%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 19:29
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -11.03%E -5.77%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -12.39%E -3.54%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-31 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.62%EV -11.49%E -6.05%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -14.85%E -4.95%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.49%EV -14.89%E -4.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-31 14:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%13.9%2026-08-31 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-08-31 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-08-31 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-31 15:20