Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

AGF Aarhus v Viborg FF

Начало: 2026-05-17 16:00 UTC

Итог: AGF Aarhus 6–2 Viborg FF

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

AGF Aarhus (Хозяева)

Прогноз 45.82%2.18справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.48%
Преимущество -0.687%
Kelly -1.28%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.15

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.39%45.93%45.79%47.96%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.872.022.022.1553.48%49.53%49.50%46.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Viborg FF (Гости)

Прогноз 29.72%3.37справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.450%
Преимущество -0.134%
Kelly -0.191%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.35

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.26%29.69%29.67%30.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.133.103.3534.72%31.96%32.26%29.85%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 24.46%4.09справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.02%
Преимущество +0.246%
Kelly +0.325%
Рост +0.003%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.13

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.81%24.38%24.54%27.35%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.703.704.1332.26%27.06%27.03%24.21%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: AGF Aarhus (Хозяева): 45.82%; Viborg FF (Гости): 29.72%; Ничья: 24.46%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.09. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.13, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.02%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.43%E -3.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.84%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.05%EV +1.02%E +0.246%K +0.325%G +0.003%5.1%2026-05-17 07:45
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -10.64%E -5.46%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV +0.282%E +0.069%K +0.091%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:15
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -10.64%E -5.46%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV +0.282%E +0.069%K +0.091%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -6.52%E -3.20%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -6.52%E -3.20%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:40
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -9.27%E -4.68%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.34%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:10
Suprabets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.71%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -7.28%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 07:37
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 04:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -10.18%E -5.20%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 08:05
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 05:15
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:18
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.42%EV -3.77%E -1.79%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -5.83%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 07:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 07:55
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:15
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -10.64%E -5.46%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 08:20
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -10.64%E -5.46%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 08:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.14%EV -1.48%E -0.687%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.97%EV -0.450%E -0.134%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.14%EV -1.48%E -0.687%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.97%EV -0.450%E -0.134%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 00:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.69%E -2.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 07:55
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:54
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 08:20
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 08:21
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 19:55
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -10.64%E -5.46%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 07:40
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.56%EV -14.31%E -7.65%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -14.42%E -5.01%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-17 07:40
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18%EV -3.77%E -1.79%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.38%EV -4.02%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.44%EV -8.77%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 16:06
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 05:20
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:38
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -10.72%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.69%E -2.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 09:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.69%E -2.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 09:15
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.69%E -2.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 09:15
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.69%E -2.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 09:20
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.69%E -2.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 09:20
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -5.60%E -2.72%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 00:45
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -5.60%E -2.72%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 00:45
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 11:54
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:36
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.76%EV -10.64%E -5.46%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.45%EV -9.96%E -3.29%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 04:04
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.64%E -5.46%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 08:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.04%EV -10.18%E -5.20%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 19:55
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -6.52%E -3.20%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -13.17%E -3.71%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 00:45
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -6.52%E -3.20%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -13.17%E -3.71%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -6.52%E -3.20%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -13.17%E -3.71%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -7.43%E -3.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 09:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.34%EV -11.56%E -5.99%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.34%E -4.18%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 04:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -15.62%E -4.53%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 09:20
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -16.84%E -4.95%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -16.84%E -4.95%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 05:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -16.84%E -4.95%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 05:15
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -16.84%E -4.95%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 05:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.32%EV -11.10%E -5.72%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -16.84%E -4.95%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -12.48%E -6.53%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -24.18%E -7.80%K -11.51%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-15 12:04
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.78%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.78%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.78%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.78%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-05-17 08:15
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-05-17 05:35