L’École des cotes

AGF Aarhus v Viborg FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 16:00 UTC

Score final : AGF Aarhus 6–2 Viborg FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AGF Aarhus (Local)

Prévision 45.82%2.18cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.687%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.39%45.93%45.79%47.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.022.022.1553.48%49.53%49.50%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Viborg FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.72%3.37cote équitable
EV -0.450%
Avantage -0.134%
Kelly -0.191%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.26%29.69%29.67%30.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.133.103.3534.72%31.96%32.26%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.46%4.09cote équitable
EV +1.02%
Avantage +0.246%
Kelly +0.325%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.81%24.38%24.54%27.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.703.704.1332.26%27.06%27.03%24.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.43%E -3.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.84%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.05%EV +1.02%E +0.246%K +0.325%G +0.003%5.1%2026-05-17 07:45
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -10.64%E -5.46%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV +0.282%E +0.069%K +0.091%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:15
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -10.64%E -5.46%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV +0.282%E +0.069%K +0.091%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:15
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -6.52%E -3.20%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:40
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -6.52%E -3.20%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:40
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -9.27%E -4.68%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.34%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:10
Suprabets2.00I 50.00%NM 46.71%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -7.28%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 07:37
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 04:05
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -10.18%E -5.20%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 08:05
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 05:15
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:18
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.42%EV -3.77%E -1.79%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -5.83%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 07:55
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 07:55
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:15
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -10.64%E -5.46%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 08:20
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -10.64%E -5.46%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.06%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 08:20
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 45.14%EV -1.48%E -0.687%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.97%EV -0.450%E -0.134%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 00:45
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.14%EV -1.48%E -0.687%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.97%EV -0.450%E -0.134%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 00:45
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.69%E -2.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 19:55
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 07:55
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:54
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 08:20
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 08:21
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 19:55
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -10.64%E -5.46%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 07:40
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.56%EV -14.31%E -7.65%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -14.42%E -5.01%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.22%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-17 07:40
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18%EV -3.77%E -1.79%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.38%EV -4.02%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.44%EV -8.77%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 16:06
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 05:20
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:38
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -10.72%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:55
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.69%E -2.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 09:20
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.69%E -2.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 09:15
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.69%E -2.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 09:15
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.69%E -2.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 09:20
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.69%E -2.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 09:20
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -5.60%E -2.72%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 00:45
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -5.60%E -2.72%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 00:45
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 11:54
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:36
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:40
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:40
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:40
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.76%EV -10.64%E -5.46%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.45%EV -9.96%E -3.29%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 04:04
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.64%E -5.46%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 08:20
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.04%EV -10.18%E -5.20%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 19:55
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -6.52%E -3.20%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -13.17%E -3.71%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 00:45
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -6.52%E -3.20%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -13.17%E -3.71%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -6.52%E -3.20%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -13.17%E -3.71%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 00:45
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -7.43%E -3.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 09:20
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.34%EV -11.56%E -5.99%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.34%E -4.18%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 04:05
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -15.62%E -4.53%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 09:20
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -16.84%E -4.95%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -16.84%E -4.95%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 05:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -16.84%E -4.95%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 05:15
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -16.84%E -4.95%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 05:15
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.32%EV -11.10%E -5.72%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -16.84%E -4.95%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -12.48%E -6.53%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -24.18%E -7.80%K -11.51%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-15 12:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.78%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.78%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.78%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.78%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-05-17 08:15
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-05-17 05:35