StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

AGF Aarhus v SonderjyskE

Matchstart: 2026-05-03 16:00 UTC

Slutresultat: AGF Aarhus 2–1 SonderjyskE

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

AGF Aarhus (Hemma)

Prognos 69.79%1.43rättvist odds
EV -2.30%
Fördel -1.64%
Kelly -5.75%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
67.22%69.62%69.97%71.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.271.331.331.4078.74%75.11%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

SonderjyskE (Borta)

Prognos 12.65%7.90rättvist odds
EV +2.48%
Fördel +0.306%
Kelly +0.349%
Tillväxt +0.009%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.60%12.74%12.41%14.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.007.237.508.1016.67%13.83%13.33%12.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 17.56%5.69rättvist odds
EV -1.48%
Fördel -0.264%
Kelly -0.321%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.61

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.89%17.64%17.62%18.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.805.155.105.6120.83%19.41%19.61%17.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: AGF Aarhus (Hemma): 69.79%; SonderjyskE (Borta): 12.65%; Oavgjort: 17.56%. För SonderjyskE (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.90. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 8.10, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.48%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.66%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.77%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.60%EV +2.48%E +0.306%K +0.349%G +0.009%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -6.92%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 15:40
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.66%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.77%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.60%EV +2.48%E +0.306%K +0.349%G +0.009%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -6.92%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 15:40
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV +1.22%E +0.152%K +0.174%G +0.002%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -3.41%E -0.620%K -0.758%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 15:33
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -8.58%E -6.55%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +1.22%E +0.152%K +0.174%G +0.002%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -3.41%E -0.620%K -0.758%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:55
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.76%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.96I 12.56%NM 12.09%EV +0.710%E +0.089%K +0.102%G +0.001%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.15%EV -1.48%E -0.264%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.80%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.07%EV -1.31%E -0.169%K -0.193%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.41%E -0.620%K -0.758%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.80%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.07%EV -1.31%E -0.169%K -0.193%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.41%E -0.620%K -0.758%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.98%EV -1.95%E -0.251%K -0.288%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.80%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 15:36
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.86%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.42%EV -3.21%E -0.420%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.72%EV -5.87%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 15:56
Suprabets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.31%EV -3.84%E -0.506%K -0.583%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -5.17%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 15:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.13%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.27%EV -3.84%E -0.506%K -0.583%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -6.92%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -6.92%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -6.92%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 15:45
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -3.41%E -0.620%K -0.758%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 15:14
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -10.44%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 15:51
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -10.44%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -10.44%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 15:45
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -10.44%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 15:45
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.41%E -0.620%K -0.758%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 15:15
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.22%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -10.44%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:45
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.22%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -10.44%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.80%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 15:35
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 15:35
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 15:45
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 15:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 15:45
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 15:35
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -9.28%E -7.14%K -30.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -7.80%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 15:55
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.28%E -7.14%K -30.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.98%E -7.73%K -34.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.11%E -0.681%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 15:56
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.47%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.54%G +0.000%7.31I 13.68%NM 12.83%EV -7.51%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -6.92%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 15:35
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -9.28%E -7.14%K -30.92%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -8.27%E -1.14%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 15:45
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -2.30%E -1.64%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.44%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 15:25
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.09%E -3.74%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.44%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -7.80%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 15:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -11.44%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -3.41%E -0.620%K -0.758%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 15:55
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -5.79%E -4.29%K -16.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -11.44%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 15:15
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -11.44%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 15:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -11.44%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 15:45
LeoVegas🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -6.49%E -4.84%K -19.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -11.44%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 15:45
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -11.44%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -8.68%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 15:55
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -11.44%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -8.68%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 15:56
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.44%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -11.44%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.92%EV -9.28%E -7.14%K -30.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -11.44%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -13.95%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 15:45
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -9.28%E -7.14%K -30.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.44%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -15.70%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.99%EV -10.67%E -8.34%K -38.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -11.44%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -15.70%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.14%EV -11.37%E -8.95%K -42.12%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.30%EV -16.50%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.08%EV -7.88%E -5.97%K -24.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -17.76%E -2.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -5.17%E -0.957%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.28%E -7.14%K -30.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -17.76%E -2.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 15:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.44%EV -10.67%E -8.34%K -38.12%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.69%EV -19.03%E -2.97%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.88%EV -13.95%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-03 15:51
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -24.09%E -4.01%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -24.09%E -4.01%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 15:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -24.09%E -4.01%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 15:35
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -7.18%E -5.40%K -21.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -24.09%E -4.01%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -12.19%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.12%EV -9.98%E -7.73%K -34.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -24.09%E -4.01%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -10.44%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 15:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.8%2026-05-03 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.91%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%0.8%2026-05-03 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.97%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-03 15:56
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.97%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-03 15:55
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.20%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.16%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64%1.8%2026-05-03 15:55