Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.95
assuming max odds 4.29
assuming max odds 4.01
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AGF Aarhus (Local): 50.88%; FC Nordsjaelland (Visit): 24.44%; Draw: 24.68%. For FC Nordsjaelland (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.09. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.29, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.84%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.41%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.48%EV +4.84%E +1.13%K +1.47%G +0.071% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.11%EV -5.24%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.82%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV +2.64%E +0.630%K +0.826%G +0.022% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -1.30%E -0.324%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.82%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV +2.64%E +0.630%K +0.826%G +0.022% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -1.30%E -0.324%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -9.42%E -5.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +0.200%E +0.049%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -9.42%E -5.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +0.200%E +0.049%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -9.42%E -5.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +0.200%E +0.049%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -9.42%E -5.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +0.200%E +0.049%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -10.44%E -5.93%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +0.200%E +0.049%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.53%E -0.641%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV +0.200%E +0.049%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 16:54 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV +0.200%E +0.049%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.42%EV -9.44%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 16:36 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.24%E -0.561%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -1.30%E -0.324%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 14:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -10.44%E -5.93%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -2.24%E -0.561%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -10.44%E -5.93%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -2.24%E -0.561%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -10.95%E -6.26%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -2.24%E -0.561%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -10.95%E -6.26%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -2.24%E -0.561%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -10.95%E -6.26%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -2.24%E -0.561%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -3.47%E -0.877%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -11.46%E -6.59%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.877%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -9.93%E -5.61%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -3.47%E -0.877%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 16:37 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.06%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 16:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.81%EV -12.48%E -7.25%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -13.50%E -7.94%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -6.64%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.12%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 14:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -7.39%E -4.06%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-10 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 14:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 16:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -12.40%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -12.40%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.95%E -6.26%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.95%E -6.26%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -16.10%E -4.74%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-10 16:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.86%EV -15.53%E -9.36%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -9.93%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.21%EV -8.11%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.11%EV -3.02%E -0.769%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.35%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-10 12:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.35%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 14:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -0.774%E -0.397%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -10.80%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.93%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -0.774%E -0.397%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -10.80%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.93%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.77%EV -12.48%E -7.25%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.92%EV -10.80%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.31%EV -14.87%E -4.31%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-10 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.67%EV -1.05%E -0.262%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 16:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.46%EV -5.35%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -1.30%E -0.324%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%EV -9.42%E -5.29%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-10 14:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-10 16:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.24%E -3.73%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.96%EV -12.48%E -7.25%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -13.24%E -3.73%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-10 16:37 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -11.97%E -6.92%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -14.46%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.54%EV -11.97%E -6.92%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -14.46%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -18.57%E -5.63%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-10 16:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.64%EV -11.46%E -6.59%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -15.69%E -4.55%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.82%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-10 14:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.82% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98% | 2.6% | 2026-04-10 16:55 |