StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

AGF Aarhus v FC Nordsjaelland

Matchstart: 2026-04-10 17:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

AGF Aarhus (Hemma)

Prognos 50.88%1.97rättvist odds
EV -0.774%
Fördel -0.397%
Kelly -0.815%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.34%50.91%50.78%53.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.661.801.801.9560.24%55.51%55.56%51.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

FC Nordsjaelland (Borta)

Prognos 24.44%4.09rättvist odds
EV +4.84%
Fördel +1.13%
Kelly +1.47%
Tillväxt +0.071%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.29

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.48%24.36%24.45%26.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.453.833.804.2928.99%26.13%26.32%23.31%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.68%4.05rättvist odds
EV -1.05%
Fördel -0.262%
Kelly -0.349%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.01

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.47%24.74%24.77%26.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.733.754.0130.30%26.85%26.67%24.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: AGF Aarhus (Hemma): 50.88%; FC Nordsjaelland (Borta): 24.44%; Oavgjort: 24.68%. För FC Nordsjaelland (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.09. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.29, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.84%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.41%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.48%EV +4.84%E +1.13%K +1.47%G +0.071%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.11%EV -5.24%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.82%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV +2.64%E +0.630%K +0.826%G +0.022%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -1.30%E -0.324%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-10 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.82%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV +2.64%E +0.630%K +0.826%G +0.022%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -1.30%E -0.324%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-10 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -9.42%E -5.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +0.200%E +0.049%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -9.42%E -5.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +0.200%E +0.049%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 16:50
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -9.42%E -5.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +0.200%E +0.049%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 16:50
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -9.42%E -5.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV +0.200%E +0.049%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -10.44%E -5.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +0.200%E +0.049%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.53%E -0.641%K -0.858%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV +0.200%E +0.049%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 16:54
Suprabets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV +0.200%E +0.049%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.42%EV -9.44%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 16:36
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.24%E -0.561%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -1.30%E -0.324%K -0.432%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 14:15
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -10.44%E -5.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -2.24%E -0.561%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -10.44%E -5.93%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -2.24%E -0.561%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -10.95%E -6.26%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -2.24%E -0.561%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 16:50
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -10.95%E -6.26%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -2.24%E -0.561%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -10.95%E -6.26%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -2.24%E -0.561%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -3.47%E -0.877%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -11.46%E -6.59%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -3.47%E -0.877%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 16:50
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -9.93%E -5.61%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -3.47%E -0.877%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 16:37
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.06%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.81%EV -12.48%E -7.25%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -13.50%E -7.94%K -19.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -6.64%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.12%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -7.39%E -4.06%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -12.40%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -12.40%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 16:55
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 16:55
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -10.95%E -6.26%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-10 16:55
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.95%E -6.26%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -16.10%E -4.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-10 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.86%EV -15.53%E -9.36%K -23.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -9.93%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-10 16:50
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.68%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.21%EV -8.11%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.11%EV -3.02%E -0.769%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 16:55
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.35%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 12:14
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.35%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 14:15
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -0.774%E -0.397%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -10.80%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.93%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 16:54
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -0.774%E -0.397%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -10.80%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.93%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.77%EV -12.48%E -7.25%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.92%EV -10.80%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.31%EV -14.87%E -4.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-10 16:39
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.67%EV -1.05%E -0.262%K -0.349%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 16:54
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.46%EV -5.35%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -1.30%E -0.324%K -0.432%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 16:55
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%EV -9.42%E -5.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 14:30
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 16:54
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 16:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 16:50
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.24%E -3.73%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.96%EV -12.48%E -7.25%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -13.24%E -3.73%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -11.17%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-10 16:37
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -11.97%E -6.92%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -14.46%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -13.63%E -3.90%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-10 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.54%EV -11.97%E -6.92%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -14.46%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -18.57%E -5.63%K -8.07%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-10 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.64%EV -11.46%E -6.59%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -15.69%E -4.55%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.82%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-10 14:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-04-10 16:55
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-04-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-04-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%0.9%2026-04-10 16:55
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%2.6%2026-04-10 16:55