Sporting Cristal v Bragantino-SP

2026-07-22 00:00 — Copa Sudamericana

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Sporting Cristal (Local)

Odds

2.7037.04%Min

2.9334.18%Mean

2.9234.19%Median

3.1731.55%Max

Consensus probabilities

30.90%3.236Min

32.59%3.068Max

31.14%3.211Mean

31.14%3.211Median

31.14%3.211IQM

31.12%3.214Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.17 under the IQM model: 31.14%

EV -1.27%Edge -0.402%Kelly -0.587%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Bragantino-SP (Visit)

Odds

2.1047.62%Min

2.2444.68%Mean

2.2544.44%Median

2.3742.19%Max

Consensus probabilities

40.10%2.494Min

41.46%2.412Max

40.54%2.467Mean

40.54%2.467Median

40.54%2.467IQM

40.49%2.470Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.37 under the IQM model: 40.54%

EV -3.93%Edge -1.66%Kelly -2.87%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.1032.26%Min

3.3230.11%Mean

3.3330.08%Median

3.5328.33%Max

Consensus probabilities

26.84%3.725Min

29.00%3.449Max

28.32%3.531Mean

28.32%3.531Median

28.32%3.531IQM

28.40%3.521Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.53 under the IQM model: 28.32%

EV -0.034%Edge -0.010%Kelly -0.013%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Sporting Cristal (Local) ▼	Bragantino-SP (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	3.17I 31.55% NM 30.91%EV -1.27% E -0.402% K -0.587% G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19% NM 41.34%EV -3.93% E -1.66% K -2.87% G +0.000%	3.53I 28.33% NM 27.75%EV -0.034% E -0.010% K -0.013% G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-07-05 13:05
Coolbet	3.05I 32.79% NM 30.90%EV -5.01% E -1.64% K -2.44% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.10%EV -4.74% E -2.02% K -3.51% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 29.00%EV -7.96% E -2.45% K -3.54% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-04 09:30
Bovada	3.00I 33.33% NM 31.25%EV -6.57% E -2.19% K -3.28% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.76%EV -6.76% E -2.94% K -5.20% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 27.99%EV -5.13% E -1.53% K -2.18% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-27 16:57
Unibet	3.00I 33.33% NM 31.10%EV -6.57% E -2.19% K -3.28% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.46%EV -8.79% E -3.91% K -7.03% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -3.72% E -1.09% K -1.55% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-06-22 20:30
Unibet (NL)	3.00I 33.33% NM 31.10%EV -6.57% E -2.19% K -3.28% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.46%EV -8.79% E -3.91% K -7.03% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -3.72% E -1.09% K -1.55% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-06-22 20:29
Casumo	3.00I 33.33% NM 31.10%EV -6.57% E -2.19% K -3.28% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.46%EV -8.79% E -3.91% K -7.03% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -3.72% E -1.09% K -1.55% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-06-22 20:29
ATG (SE)	3.00I 33.33% NM 31.10%EV -6.57% E -2.19% K -3.28% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.46%EV -8.79% E -3.91% K -7.03% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -3.72% E -1.09% K -1.55% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-06-22 20:29
Svenska Spel	3.00I 33.33% NM 31.10%EV -6.57% E -2.19% K -3.28% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.46%EV -8.79% E -3.91% K -7.03% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -3.72% E -1.09% K -1.55% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-06-22 20:29
NordicBet	2.98I 33.56% NM 31.02%EV -7.19% E -2.41% K -3.63% G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86% NM 40.54%EV -7.58% E -3.32% K -5.92% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.44%EV -7.96% E -2.45% K -3.54% G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-04 15:00
Codere (IT)	2.95I 33.90% NM 31.39%EV -8.13% E -2.75% K -4.17% G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25% NM 40.97%EV -8.39% E -3.71% K -6.66% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 27.64%EV -5.13% E -1.53% K -2.18% G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-06-04 05:39
LiveScore Bet	2.90I 34.48% NM 31.28%EV -9.68% E -3.34% K -5.10% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 41.23%EV -10.82% E -4.92% K -9.02% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.49%EV -6.55% E -1.98% K -2.85% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-06-22 20:29
LeoVegas (SE)	2.90I 34.48% NM 31.28%EV -9.68% E -3.34% K -5.10% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 41.23%EV -10.82% E -4.92% K -9.02% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.49%EV -6.55% E -1.98% K -2.85% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-06-22 20:29
Virgin Bet	2.90I 34.48% NM 31.28%EV -9.68% E -3.34% K -5.10% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 41.23%EV -10.82% E -4.92% K -9.02% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.49%EV -6.55% E -1.98% K -2.85% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-06-22 20:29
PMU (FR)	2.90I 34.48% NM 31.28%EV -9.68% E -3.34% K -5.10% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 41.23%EV -10.82% E -4.92% K -9.02% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.49%EV -6.55% E -1.98% K -2.85% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-06-22 20:29
Coral	2.87I 34.84% NM 31.24%EV -10.62% E -3.70% K -5.68% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.75%EV -10.82% E -4.92% K -9.02% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.01%EV -9.38% E -2.93% K -4.26% G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-07-04 21:34
LeoVegas	2.85I 35.09% NM 32.08%EV -11.24% E -3.94% K -6.08% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.63%EV -8.79% E -3.91% K -7.03% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 27.29%EV -5.13% E -1.53% K -2.18% G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-07-05 13:05
SportsBet	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.59%EV -12.80% E -4.57% K -7.11% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.56%EV -8.79% E -3.91% K -7.03% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.84%EV -3.72% E -1.09% K -1.55% G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-06-24 04:30
Paddy Power	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.04%EV -12.80% E -4.57% K -7.11% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.78%EV -10.82% E -4.92% K -9.02% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.18%EV -6.55% E -1.98% K -2.85% G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-06-09 15:49
Unibet (FR)	2.75I 36.36% NM 31.42%EV -14.35% E -5.22% K -8.20% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 41.15%EV -14.87% E -7.08% K -13.52% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 27.43%EV -10.80% E -3.43% K -5.02% G +0.000%	15.7%	2026-06-04 05:39
Sky Bet	2.70I 37.04% NM 31.98%EV -15.91% E -5.89% K -9.36% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 40.16%EV -12.84% E -5.97% K -11.17% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 27.86%EV -12.21% E -3.94% K -5.81% G +0.000%	15.8%	2026-06-09 15:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Sporting Cristal (Local)	Bragantino-SP (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.41I 70.92%	1.41I 70.92%	1.02I 98.04%	139.9%	2026-07-03 04:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.41I 70.92%	1.41I 70.92%	1.02I 98.04%	139.9%	2026-07-03 04:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.41I 70.92%	1.41I 70.92%	1.02I 98.04%	139.9%	2026-07-03 04:15