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Sporting Cristal v Bragantino-SP
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sporting Cristal (Local)
Prediction 31.99%3.13fair odd
EV -0.836%
Edge -0.270%
Kelly -0.398%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.56%31.90%32.03%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.892.903.1036.36%34.55%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bragantino-SP (Visit)
Prediction 39.39%2.54fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.61%39.46%39.39%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.352.382.4546.51%42.47%42.02%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.62%3.49fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.368%
Kelly -0.519%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.65%28.64%28.58%30.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.253.253.4533.33%30.79%30.77%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sporting Cristal (Local): 31.99%; Bragantino-SP (Visit): 39.39%; Draw: 28.62%. For Sporting Cristal (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -0.836%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -0.836%E -0.270%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.24%EV -9.00%E -3.90%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.22%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.77%EV -4.27%E -1.76%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -1.27%E -0.368%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -13.33%E -6.06%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.73%EV -6.24%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.73%EV -6.24%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.73%EV -6.24%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.73%EV -6.24%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.44%EV -5.95%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.09%EV -3.88%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%EV -5.95%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.25%EV -4.67%E -1.93%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.44%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -6.59%E -2.26%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.18%E -4.47%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.82%EV -3.48%E -1.42%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -15.30%E -7.12%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 00:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.03%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.24%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.03%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 0.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 0.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.21% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
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