L’École des cotes

Sporting Cristal v Bragantino-SP

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-23 00:30 UTC

Score final : Sporting Cristal 0–0 Bragantino-SP

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

28 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sporting Cristal (Local)

Prévision 31.99%3.13cote équitable
EV -0.836%
Avantage -0.270%
Kelly -0.398%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.56%31.90%32.03%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.892.903.1036.36%34.55%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bragantino-SP (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.39%2.54cote équitable
EV -3.48%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -2.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.61%39.46%39.39%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.352.382.4546.51%42.47%42.02%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.62%3.49cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.368%
Kelly -0.519%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.65%28.64%28.58%30.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.253.4533.33%30.79%30.77%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -0.836%E -0.270%K -0.398%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.24%EV -9.00%E -3.90%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 00:25
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.22%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.77%EV -4.27%E -1.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -1.27%E -0.368%K -0.519%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-23 00:24
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 00:25
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 00:24
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -13.33%E -6.06%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 23:44
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.73%EV -6.24%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 00:24
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.73%EV -6.24%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 00:24
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.73%EV -6.24%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 00:25
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.73%EV -6.24%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 00:24
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 00:24
Pinnacle2.94I 34.01%NM 32.44%EV -5.95%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.09%EV -3.88%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 00:25
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%EV -5.95%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.25%EV -4.67%E -1.93%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.44%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 00:24
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -6.59%E -2.26%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.18%E -4.47%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 00:24
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.82%EV -3.48%E -1.42%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 00:25
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -15.30%E -7.12%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-23 00:24
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-23 00:23
SportsBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 00:24
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 00:24
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 00:24
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 00:25
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-23 00:24
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-23 00:24
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-23 00:25
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-23 00:25
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-23 00:24
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.03%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.24%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-23 00:25
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.03%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-23 00:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%0.6%2026-07-23 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%0.6%2026-07-23 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.21%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-07-23 00:24
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-07-23 00:25