La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sporting Cristal v Bragantino-SP
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sporting Cristal (Local)
Predicción 31.99%3.13momio equitativo
EV -0.836%
Ventaja -0.270%
Kelly -0.398%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.56%31.90%32.03%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.892.903.1036.36%34.55%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bragantino-SP (Visitante)
Predicción 39.39%2.54momio equitativo
EV -3.48%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.61%39.46%39.39%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.352.382.4546.51%42.47%42.02%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.62%3.49momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.368%
Kelly -0.519%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.65%28.64%28.58%30.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.253.4533.33%30.79%30.77%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -0.836%E -0.270%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.24%EV -9.00%E -3.90%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.22%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.77%EV -4.27%E -1.76%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -1.27%E -0.368%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -13.33%E -6.06%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.73%EV -6.24%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.73%EV -6.24%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.73%EV -6.24%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.73%EV -6.24%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.42%E -3.16%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.44%EV -5.95%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.09%EV -3.88%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31%EV -5.95%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.25%EV -4.67%E -1.93%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.44%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -6.59%E -2.26%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.18%E -4.47%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.82%EV -3.48%E -1.42%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -15.30%E -7.12%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 00:23 |
| SportsBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.45%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.03%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.24%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.03%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.39%E -4.08%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 0.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 0.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.21% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |