赔率学院

Santos v Recoleta FC

开赛时间: 2026-04-15 00:30 UTC

最终结果: Santos 1–1 Recoleta FC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Santos (主队)

预测 86.84%1.15公平赔率
EV -3.61%
优势 -3.25%
Kelly -32.81%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.11

博彩公司预测分布
82.76%86.62%86.84%89.41%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.041.071.081.1196.15%93.60%92.59%90.09%MIN均值中位数MAX

Recoleta FC (客队)

预测 3.49%28.66公平赔率
EV +18.63%
优势 +0.548%
Kelly +0.565%
增长率 +0.105%

假设最高赔率为 34.00

博彩公司预测分布
2.72%3.57%3.49%4.83%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
18.0027.6929.0034.005.56%3.61%3.45%2.94%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 9.67%10.34公平赔率
EV +16.07%
优势 +1.34%
Kelly +1.46%
增长率 +0.235%

假设最高赔率为 12.00

博彩公司预测分布
7.82%9.80%9.67%12.41%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
7.009.6910.0012.0014.29%10.32%10.00%8.33%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.41%EV -8.82%E -8.40%K -176.39%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.76%EV +18.63%E +0.548%K +0.565%G +0.105%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +16.07%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%6.5%2026-04-15 00:19
ATG (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.97%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.15%EV +8.16%E +0.263%K +0.272%G +0.022%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.88%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%2.4%2026-04-15 00:20
Pinnacle1.08I 92.59%NM 87.87%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%28.30I 3.53%NM 3.35%EV -1.26%E -0.044%K -0.046%G +0.000%10.81I 9.25%NM 8.78%EV +4.56%E +0.421%K +0.464%G +0.021%5.4%2026-04-15 00:15
Unibet (NL)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.81%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.16%EV +4.67%E +0.156%K +0.161%G +0.008%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%5.4%2026-04-15 00:20
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.81%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.16%EV +4.67%E +0.156%K +0.161%G +0.008%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%5.4%2026-04-15 00:20
Svenska Spel1.08I 92.59%NM 87.81%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.16%EV +4.67%E +0.156%K +0.161%G +0.008%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%5.4%2026-04-15 00:15
Casumo1.08I 92.59%NM 87.81%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.16%EV +4.67%E +0.156%K +0.161%G +0.008%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%5.4%2026-04-15 00:20
DraftKings1.08I 92.59%NM 87.38%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV -9.28%E -0.357%K -0.371%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.99%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%6.0%2026-04-14 23:59
Bovada1.07I 93.46%NM 87.10%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.18%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV -9.28%E -0.357%K -0.371%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 00:20
SportsBet1.05I 95.24%NM 87.81%EV -8.82%E -8.40%K -176.39%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 2.97%EV +8.16%E +0.263%K +0.272%G +0.022%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 00:10
Virgin Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 87.63%EV -8.82%E -8.40%K -176.39%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.17%EV +1.19%E +0.041%K +0.042%G +0.001%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 00:20
Paddy Power1.05I 95.24%NM 87.31%EV -8.82%E -8.40%K -176.39%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.53%EV -9.28%E -0.357%K -0.371%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-15 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 87.73%EV -9.69%E -9.32%K -242.19%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.15%EV +1.19%E +0.041%K +0.042%G +0.001%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 87.73%EV -9.69%E -9.32%K -242.19%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.15%EV +1.19%E +0.041%K +0.042%G +0.001%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 00:20
LeoVegas1.04I 96.15%NM 87.73%EV -9.69%E -9.32%K -242.19%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.15%EV +1.19%E +0.041%K +0.042%G +0.001%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 00:20
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 85.55%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.18%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.82%EV -33.71%E -1.77%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -8.11%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-15 00:19
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 86.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.22%EV +1.19%E +0.041%K +0.042%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 00:19
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 86.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.22%EV +1.19%E +0.041%K +0.042%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 00:20
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.22%EV +1.19%E +0.041%K +0.042%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 00:20
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.22%EV +1.19%E +0.041%K +0.042%G +0.001%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 00:20
Sky Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 85.83%EV -9.69%E -9.32%K -242.19%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.25%EV -26.73%E -1.27%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-15 00:10
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.83%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -19.75%E -0.859%K -0.898%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:45
betfred_uk1.06I 94.34%NM 84.85%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.52%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.91%EV -19.75%E -0.859%K -0.898%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-15 00:10
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.58%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.72%EV +18.63%E +0.548%K +0.565%G +0.105%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.70%EV -23.59%E -2.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 00:20
Unibet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 82.76%EV -8.82%E -8.40%K -176.39%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 4.83%EV -37.20%E -2.07%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.41%EV -32.29%E -4.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-15 00:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.21%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.16%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%0.8%2026-04-15 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.21%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.16%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%0.8%2026-04-15 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.21%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.16%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%0.8%2026-04-15 00:20
Matchbook1.10I 90.91%NM 90.12%44.00I 2.27%NM 2.25%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%0.9%2026-04-15 00:20
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.75%42.02I 2.38%NM 2.35%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%1.3%2026-04-15 00:20