A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Santos v Recoleta FC
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Santos (Local)
Previsão 86.84%1.15odd justa
EV -3.61%
Vantagem -3.25%
Kelly -32.81%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.11
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
82.76%86.62%86.84%89.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.041.071.081.1196.15%93.60%92.59%90.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Recoleta FC (Visitante)
Previsão 3.49%28.66odd justa
EV +18.63%
Vantagem +0.548%
Kelly +0.565%
Crescimento +0.105%
pressupondo odds máximas de 34.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
2.72%3.57%3.49%4.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
18.0027.6929.0034.005.56%3.61%3.45%2.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 9.67%10.34odd justa
EV +16.07%
Vantagem +1.34%
Kelly +1.46%
Crescimento +0.235%
pressupondo odds máximas de 12.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.82%9.80%9.67%12.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.009.6910.0012.0014.29%10.32%10.00%8.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (25 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.41%EV -8.82%E -8.40%K -176.39%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.76%EV +18.63%E +0.548%K +0.565%G +0.105% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +16.07%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 00:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.97%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.15%EV +8.16%E +0.263%K +0.272%G +0.022% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.88%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.87%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000% | 28.30I 3.53%NM 3.35%EV -1.26%E -0.044%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 10.81I 9.25%NM 8.78%EV +4.56%E +0.421%K +0.464%G +0.021% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.81%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.16%EV +4.67%E +0.156%K +0.161%G +0.008% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| Unibet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.81%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.16%EV +4.67%E +0.156%K +0.161%G +0.008% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.81%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.16%EV +4.67%E +0.156%K +0.161%G +0.008% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 00:15 |
| Casumo | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.81%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.16%EV +4.67%E +0.156%K +0.161%G +0.008% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.03%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.38%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV -9.28%E -0.357%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.99%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 23:59 |
| Bovada | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.10%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.18%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.58%EV -9.28%E -0.357%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.81%EV -8.82%E -8.40%K -176.39%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 2.97%EV +8.16%E +0.263%K +0.272%G +0.022% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.63%EV -8.82%E -8.40%K -176.39%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.17%EV +1.19%E +0.041%K +0.042%G +0.001% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.31%EV -8.82%E -8.40%K -176.39%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.53%EV -9.28%E -0.357%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-15 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.73%EV -9.69%E -9.32%K -242.19%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.15%EV +1.19%E +0.041%K +0.042%G +0.001% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.73%EV -9.69%E -9.32%K -242.19%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.15%EV +1.19%E +0.041%K +0.042%G +0.001% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.73%EV -9.69%E -9.32%K -242.19%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.15%EV +1.19%E +0.041%K +0.042%G +0.001% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| Coral | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.55%EV -7.08%E -6.62%K -101.18%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.82%EV -33.71%E -1.77%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -8.11%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-15 00:19 |
| William Hill | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.22%EV +1.19%E +0.041%K +0.042%G +0.001% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 00:19 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.22%EV +1.19%E +0.041%K +0.042%G +0.001% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.22%EV +1.19%E +0.041%K +0.042%G +0.001% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.41%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.22%EV +1.19%E +0.041%K +0.042%G +0.001% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.83%EV -9.69%E -9.32%K -242.19%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.25%EV -26.73%E -1.27%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-15 00:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.83%EV -3.61%E -3.25%K -32.81%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -19.75%E -0.859%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 09:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.06I 94.34%NM 84.85%EV -7.95%E -7.50%K -132.52%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.91%EV -19.75%E -0.859%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-15 00:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.58%EV -6.21%E -5.75%K -77.68%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.72%EV +18.63%E +0.548%K +0.565%G +0.105% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.70%EV -23.59%E -2.99%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 82.76%EV -8.82%E -8.40%K -176.39%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 4.83%EV -37.20%E -2.07%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.41%EV -32.29%E -4.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.21% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.16% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 0.8% | 2026-04-15 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.21% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.16% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 0.8% | 2026-04-15 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.21% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.16% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 0.8% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.12% | 44.00I 2.27%NM 2.25% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 0.9% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.75% | 42.02I 2.38%NM 2.35% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90% | 1.3% | 2026-04-15 00:20 |