Language:English
Santos v Macará
Head to Head
Santos (Local)
Prediction 74.29%1.35fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -11.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.57%73.97%74.29%80.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.221.3084.75%81.68%81.97%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Macará (Visit)
Prediction 9.12%10.97fair odd
EV +35.84%
Edge +2.41%
Kelly +2.58%
Growth +0.924%
assuming max odds 14.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.58%9.49%9.12%11.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.1210.2510.0014.9012.32%9.75%10.00%6.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.60%6.03fair odd
EV +23.98%
Edge +3.21%
Kelly +3.71%
Growth +0.889%
assuming max odds 7.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.12%16.55%16.60%18.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.675.507.4720.41%17.65%18.18%13.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.31%EV -9.37%E -7.68%K -42.59%G +0.000% | 14.90I 6.71%NM 6.58%EV +35.84%E +2.41%K +2.58%G +0.924% | 7.47I 13.39%NM 13.12%EV +23.98%E +3.21%K +3.71%G +0.889% | 2.1% | 2026-07-29 18:48 |
| Coolbet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.60%EV -8.63%E -7.01%K -37.51%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV +0.281%E +0.026%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.84%EV +5.39%E +0.849%K +1.01%G +0.054% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 19:23 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.11%EV -8.63%E -7.01%K -37.51%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV +0.281%E +0.026%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.50%EV -7.06%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.19%EV -10.86%E -9.05%K -54.28%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV +0.281%E +0.026%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -2.08%E -0.352%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-29 19:44 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.76%EV -10.86%E -9.05%K -54.28%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV +0.281%E +0.026%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -12.87%E -2.45%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.37%E -7.68%K -42.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -8.84%E -0.884%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -0.418%E -0.070%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-29 19:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.06%EV -9.37%E -7.68%K -42.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -8.84%E -0.884%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -3.74%E -0.644%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -12.34%E -10.46%K -68.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -8.84%E -0.884%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -8.72%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -13.39%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.72%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-29 19:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -13.39%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.72%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-29 19:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.14%E -5.71%K -28.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -13.39%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.72%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-29 19:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.09%EV -11.60%E -9.75%K -61.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.16%EV -13.39%E -1.41%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.75%EV -18.67%E -3.81%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.40%EV -10.86%E -9.05%K -54.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.22%EV -22.51%E -2.65%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -17.01%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.57%EV -3.43%E -2.64%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 8.12I 12.32%NM 11.30%EV -25.97%E -3.20%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.13%EV -16.02%E -3.17%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-29 19:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-07-29 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-07-29 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-07-29 18:20 |
Arbitrage (6 combinations) +3.07%Pinnacle 1.30 (79.3%) / 1xBet 14.90 (6.9%) / 1xBet 7.47 (13.8%)Show all 6 combinations
| Santos (Local) | Macará (Visit) | Draw | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle 1.30 (79.3%) | 1xBet 14.90 (6.9%) | 1xBet 7.47 (13.8%) | +3.07% |
| Pinnacle 1.30 (77.4%) | 1xBet 14.90 (6.8%) | Coolbet 6.35 (15.8%) | +0.621% |
| Pinnacle 1.30 (77.4%) | Coolbet 11.00 (9.1%) | 1xBet 7.47 (13.5%) | +0.603% |
| Pinnacle 1.30 (77.4%) | Codere (IT) 11.00 (9.1%) | 1xBet 7.47 (13.5%) | +0.603% |
| Pinnacle 1.30 (77.4%) | SportsBet 11.00 (9.1%) | 1xBet 7.47 (13.5%) | +0.603% |
| Pinnacle 1.30 (77.4%) | Coral 11.00 (9.1%) | 1xBet 7.47 (13.5%) | +0.603% |