语言:简体中文
Santos v Macará
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Santos (主队)
预测 67.03%1.49公平赔率
EV -4.82%
优势 -3.39%
Kelly -11.48%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.42
博彩公司预测分布
65.23%66.98%67.11%69.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.371.381.4276.92%73.01%72.73%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
Macará (客队)
预测 11.38%8.79公平赔率
EV +5.23%
优势 +0.566%
Kelly +0.634%
增长率 +0.033%
假设最高赔率为 9.25
博彩公司预测分布
10.35%11.37%11.36%13.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.507.858.009.2515.38%12.73%12.50%10.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 21.59%4.63公平赔率
EV +5.82%
优势 +1.19%
Kelly +1.49%
增长率 +0.087%
假设最高赔率为 4.90
博彩公司预测分布
19.50%21.65%21.52%23.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.374.404.9025.00%22.87%22.73%20.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Santos (主队)：67.03%；Macará (客队)：11.38%；平局：21.59%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.63。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.90，对应+5.82%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.25%EV -7.50%E -5.44%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.24%EV -3.30%E -0.388%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV +5.82%E +1.19%K +1.49%G +0.087% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.50%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 7.3% | 2026-08-13 20:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.50%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 7.3% | 2026-08-13 20:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.50%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 7.3% | 2026-08-13 20:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.50%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 7.3% | 2026-08-13 20:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.85%EV -6.83%E -4.91%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.35%EV +5.23%E +0.566%K +0.634%G +0.033% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.80%EV -0.663%E -0.144%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 19:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -17.52%E -2.42%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.663%E -0.144%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 21:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.88%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.32%EV -13.54%E -1.78%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -14.68%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.77%EV -9.51%E -7.05%K -27.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-13 21:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -12.86%E -9.89%K -42.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -14.68%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -12.86%E -9.89%K -42.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -14.68%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-13 21:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -12.86%E -9.89%K -42.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -14.68%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -12.86%E -9.89%K -42.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -14.68%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.85%E -8.16%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -14.68%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.79%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -3.30%E -0.388%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 21:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.38%EV -14.11%E -1.87%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.79%EV -7.36%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-13 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.05%EV -5.49%E -3.89%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 9.05I 11.05%NM 10.45%EV +2.96%E +0.327%K +0.367%G +0.011% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.36%EV -6.83%E -4.91%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.68%EV -10.12%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -26.05%E -4.01%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -10.85%E -8.16%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -20.36%E -2.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-13 21:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -3.30%E -0.388%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.35%EV -8.17%E -5.96%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.26%EV -16.95%E -2.32%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.63% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.63% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.63% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |