Lingua:Italiano
Santos v Macará
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Santos (Casa)
Previsione 67.03%1.49quota equa
EV -4.82%
Vantaggio -3.39%
Kelly -11.48%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.23%66.98%67.11%69.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.371.381.4276.92%73.01%72.73%70.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Macará (Trasferta)
Previsione 11.38%8.79quota equa
EV +5.23%
Vantaggio +0.566%
Kelly +0.634%
Crescita +0.033%
ipotizzando la quota massima 9.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.35%11.37%11.36%13.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.858.009.2515.38%12.73%12.50%10.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 21.59%4.63quota equa
EV +5.82%
Vantaggio +1.19%
Kelly +1.49%
Crescita +0.087%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.90
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.50%21.65%21.52%23.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.374.404.9025.00%22.87%22.73%20.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Santos (Casa): 67.03%; Macará (Trasferta): 11.38%; Pareggio: 21.59%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.63. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.90, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.82%.
Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.25%EV -7.50%E -5.44%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.24%EV -3.30%E -0.388%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV +5.82%E +1.19%K +1.49%G +0.087% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.50%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 7.3% | 2026-08-13 20:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.50%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 7.3% | 2026-08-13 20:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.50%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 7.3% | 2026-08-13 20:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.50%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 7.3% | 2026-08-13 20:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.85%EV -6.83%E -4.91%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.35%EV +5.23%E +0.566%K +0.634%G +0.033% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.80%EV -0.663%E -0.144%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 19:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -17.52%E -2.42%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.663%E -0.144%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 21:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.88%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.32%EV -13.54%E -1.78%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -14.68%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.77%EV -9.51%E -7.05%K -27.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-13 21:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -12.86%E -9.89%K -42.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -14.68%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -12.86%E -9.89%K -42.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -14.68%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-13 21:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -12.86%E -9.89%K -42.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -14.68%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -12.86%E -9.89%K -42.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -14.68%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-13 21:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-13 21:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.85%E -8.16%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -14.68%E -1.96%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.79%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -3.30%E -0.388%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 21:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -4.82%E -3.39%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.38%EV -14.11%E -1.87%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.79%EV -7.36%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-13 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.05%EV -5.49%E -3.89%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 9.05I 11.05%NM 10.45%EV +2.96%E +0.327%K +0.367%G +0.011% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.36%EV -6.83%E -4.91%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.68%EV -10.12%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -26.05%E -4.01%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -10.85%E -8.16%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -20.36%E -2.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-13 21:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -3.30%E -0.388%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-13 21:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.16%E -4.40%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -8.99%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.35%EV -8.17%E -5.96%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.26%EV -16.95%E -2.32%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-13 21:39 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.63% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.63% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.63% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |