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River Plate v Blooming
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
River Plate (Local)
Prediction 87.73%1.14fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -23.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.49%87.72%87.86%89.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.071.071.1196.15%93.62%93.46%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Blooming (Visit)
Prediction 3.72%26.86fair odd
EV +26.56%
Edge +0.781%
Kelly +0.805%
Growth +0.214%
assuming max odds 34.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.72%3.70%3.82%5.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
17.0025.3225.0034.005.88%3.95%4.00%2.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 8.54%11.71fair odd
EV +11.06%
Edge +0.850%
Kelly +0.921%
Growth +0.102%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.17%8.58%8.32%11.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.9010.0210.0013.0012.66%9.98%10.00%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: River Plate (Local): 87.73%; Blooming (Visit): 3.72%; Draw: 8.54%. For Blooming (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 26.86. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 34.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +26.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.58%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.72%EV +26.56%E +0.781%K +0.805%G +0.214% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.70%EV -32.51%E -4.12%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-27 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.60%EV -6.12%E -5.72%K -87.48%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.02%EV +15.39%E +0.497%K +0.513%G +0.079% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.78%EV -2.61%E -2.36%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.36%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%EV -6.03%E -0.548%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.42%EV -6.12%E -5.72%K -87.48%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.62%EV -8.76%E -8.42%K -218.89%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV +11.06%E +0.850%K +0.921%G +0.102% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 23:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -3.22%E -0.124%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -3.22%E -0.124%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -3.22%E -0.124%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -3.22%E -0.124%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.25%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.81%EV -6.94%E -0.278%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +2.51%E +0.209%K +0.228%G +0.006% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 02:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.64%EV -6.94%E -0.278%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -18.84%E -1.98%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.64%EV -6.94%E -0.278%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -18.84%E -1.98%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.64%EV -6.94%E -0.278%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -18.84%E -1.98%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.64%EV -6.94%E -0.278%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -18.84%E -1.98%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.64%EV -6.94%E -0.278%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -18.84%E -1.98%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.05%EV -6.12%E -5.72%K -87.48%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.10%EV -14.39%E -0.625%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +2.51%E +0.209%K +0.228%G +0.006% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.54%EV -8.76%E -8.42%K -218.89%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.87%EV -14.39%E -0.625%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.59%EV -28.24%E -3.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.39%EV -6.12%E -5.72%K -87.48%G +0.000% | 21.68I 4.61%NM 4.31%EV -19.30%E -0.890%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 11.27I 8.87%NM 8.30%EV -3.72%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.00%E -6.60%K -116.68%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV -21.83%E -1.04%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -10.30%E -0.981%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.39%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.54%EV -25.55%E -1.28%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.97%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.83%EV -29.27%E -1.54%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -23.12%E -2.57%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.49%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV -36.72%E -2.16%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -23.12%E -2.57%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-27 23:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 84.86%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.24%EV -36.72%E -2.16%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV -23.12%E -2.57%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.53% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.11% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36% | 0.6% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.92% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.28% | 32.05I 3.12%NM 3.09% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62% | 0.9% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.28% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62% | 0.9% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |