La escuela de los momiosEspañol
River Plate v Blooming
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
River Plate (Local)
Predicción 87.73%1.14momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -2.36%
Kelly -23.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.49%87.72%87.86%89.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.041.071.071.1196.15%93.62%93.46%90.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Blooming (Visitante)
Predicción 3.72%26.86momio equitativo
EV +26.56%
Ventaja +0.781%
Kelly +0.805%
Crecimiento +0.214%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 34.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
2.72%3.70%3.82%5.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
17.0025.3225.0034.005.88%3.95%4.00%2.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 8.54%11.71momio equitativo
EV +11.06%
Ventaja +0.850%
Kelly +0.921%
Crecimiento +0.102%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.17%8.58%8.32%11.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.9010.0210.0013.0012.66%9.98%10.00%7.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (27 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.58%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.72%EV +26.56%E +0.781%K +0.805%G +0.214% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.70%EV -32.51%E -4.12%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-27 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.60%EV -6.12%E -5.72%K -87.48%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.02%EV +15.39%E +0.497%K +0.513%G +0.079% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.78%EV -2.61%E -2.36%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.36%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%EV -6.03%E -0.548%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| William Hill | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.42%EV -6.12%E -5.72%K -87.48%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Bovada | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.62%EV -8.76%E -8.42%K -218.89%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV +11.06%E +0.850%K +0.921%G +0.102% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 23:29 |
| Casumo | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -3.22%E -0.124%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -3.22%E -0.124%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Unibet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -3.22%E -0.124%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -3.22%E -0.124%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.25%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.81%EV -6.94%E -0.278%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +2.51%E +0.209%K +0.228%G +0.006% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 02:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.64%EV -6.94%E -0.278%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -18.84%E -1.98%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.64%EV -6.94%E -0.278%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -18.84%E -1.98%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-28 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.64%EV -6.94%E -0.278%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -18.84%E -1.98%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.64%EV -6.94%E -0.278%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -18.84%E -1.98%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.64%EV -6.94%E -0.278%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -18.84%E -1.98%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.05%EV -6.12%E -5.72%K -87.48%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.10%EV -14.39%E -0.625%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +2.51%E +0.209%K +0.228%G +0.006% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.54%EV -8.76%E -8.42%K -218.89%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.87%EV -14.39%E -0.625%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.59%EV -28.24%E -3.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.39%EV -6.12%E -5.72%K -87.48%G +0.000% | 21.68I 4.61%NM 4.31%EV -19.30%E -0.890%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 11.27I 8.87%NM 8.30%EV -3.72%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.00%E -6.60%K -116.68%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV -21.83%E -1.04%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -10.30%E -0.981%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.39%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.54%EV -25.55%E -1.28%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.97%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.83%EV -29.27%E -1.54%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -23.12%E -2.57%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Coral | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.49%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV -36.72%E -2.16%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -23.12%E -2.57%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-27 23:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 84.86%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.24%EV -36.72%E -2.16%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV -23.12%E -2.57%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.53% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.11% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36% | 0.6% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.92% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.28% | 32.05I 3.12%NM 3.09% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62% | 0.9% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.28% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62% | 0.9% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |