L’École des cotes

River Plate v Blooming

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 00:30 UTC

Score final : River Plate 3–0 Blooming

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

27 opérateurs (5 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

River Plate (Local)

Prévision 87.73%1.14cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -2.36%
Kelly -23.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.49%87.72%87.86%89.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.041.071.071.1196.15%93.62%93.46%90.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Blooming (Visiteur)

Prévision 3.72%26.86cote équitable
EV +26.56%
Avantage +0.781%
Kelly +0.805%
Croissance +0.214%

avec la cote maximale 34.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
2.72%3.70%3.82%5.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
17.0025.3225.0034.005.88%3.95%4.00%2.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 8.54%11.71cote équitable
EV +11.06%
Avantage +0.850%
Kelly +0.921%
Croissance +0.102%

avec la cote maximale 13.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.17%8.58%8.32%11.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.9010.0210.0013.0012.66%9.98%10.00%7.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (27 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.58%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.72%EV +26.56%E +0.781%K +0.805%G +0.214%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.70%EV -32.51%E -4.12%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 22:50
Unibet (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.60%EV -6.12%E -5.72%K -87.48%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.02%EV +15.39%E +0.497%K +0.513%G +0.079%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 00:20
ATG (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.78%EV -2.61%E -2.36%K -23.77%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.36%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%EV -6.03%E -0.548%K -0.603%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-28 00:20
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 00:20
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 00:20
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 00:19
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.32%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 00:19
1xBet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.42%EV -6.12%E -5.72%K -87.48%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:20
Bovada1.04I 96.15%NM 89.62%EV -8.76%E -8.42%K -218.89%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +7.95%E +0.274%K +0.284%G +0.023%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV +11.06%E +0.850%K +0.921%G +0.102%7.3%2026-05-27 23:29
Casumo1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -3.22%E -0.124%K -0.129%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 00:20
Unibet (NL)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -3.22%E -0.124%K -0.129%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 00:20
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -3.22%E -0.124%K -0.129%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 00:20
Svenska Spel1.08I 92.59%NM 86.99%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -3.22%E -0.124%K -0.129%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.40%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 00:20
Coolbet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.25%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.81%EV -6.94%E -0.278%K -0.289%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +2.51%E +0.209%K +0.228%G +0.006%4.9%2026-05-24 02:49
LiveScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.64%EV -6.94%E -0.278%K -0.289%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -18.84%E -1.98%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-28 00:20
PMU (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.64%EV -6.94%E -0.278%K -0.289%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -18.84%E -1.98%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-28 00:19
Virgin Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.64%EV -6.94%E -0.278%K -0.289%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -18.84%E -1.98%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-28 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.64%EV -6.94%E -0.278%K -0.289%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -18.84%E -1.98%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-28 00:20
LeoVegas1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.64%EV -6.94%E -0.278%K -0.289%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -18.84%E -1.98%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-28 00:20
DraftKings1.07I 93.46%NM 88.05%EV -6.12%E -5.72%K -87.48%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.10%EV -14.39%E -0.625%K -0.654%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +2.51%E +0.209%K +0.228%G +0.006%6.1%2026-05-28 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 85.54%EV -8.76%E -8.42%K -218.89%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.87%EV -14.39%E -0.625%K -0.654%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.59%EV -28.24%E -3.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-28 00:20
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 87.39%EV -6.12%E -5.72%K -87.48%G +0.000%21.68I 4.61%NM 4.31%EV -19.30%E -0.890%K -0.933%G +0.000%11.27I 8.87%NM 8.30%EV -3.72%E -0.330%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 00:10
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.00%E -6.60%K -116.68%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV -21.83%E -1.04%K -1.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -10.30%E -0.981%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 00:10
Paddy Power1.05I 95.24%NM 86.39%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.54%EV -25.55%E -1.28%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -14.57%E -1.46%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-28 00:09
betfred_uk1.08I 92.59%NM 84.97%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.83%EV -29.27%E -1.54%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -23.12%E -2.57%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-28 00:09
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 84.49%EV -5.25%E -4.86%K -65.58%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV -36.72%E -2.16%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -23.12%E -2.57%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-27 23:49
Sky Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 84.86%EV -7.88%E -7.50%K -157.57%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.24%EV -36.72%E -2.16%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV -23.12%E -2.57%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-28 00:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.53%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.11%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36%0.6%2026-05-28 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.92%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%0.7%2026-05-28 00:20
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 89.28%32.05I 3.12%NM 3.09%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%0.9%2026-05-28 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.28%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62%0.9%2026-05-28 00:20