La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Recoleta FC v Santos
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Recoleta FC (Casa)
Previsione 13.40%7.46quota equa
EV +0.471%
Vantaggio +0.063%
Kelly +0.072%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.66%13.47%13.57%15.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.756.526.507.5017.39%15.34%15.38%13.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Santos (Trasferta)
Previsione 63.58%1.57quota equa
EV -2.72%
Vantaggio -1.78%
Kelly -5.14%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.09%63.56%63.54%64.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.461.461.5371.43%68.64%68.73%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 23.02%4.34quota equa
EV +3.61%
Vantaggio +0.802%
Kelly +1.03%
Crescita +0.037%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.37%22.97%22.89%23.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.124.184.5026.32%24.28%23.95%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.94%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +3.61%E +0.802%K +1.03%G +0.037% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 00:05 |
| Unibet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -16.27%E -2.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.53%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV +1.31%E +0.297%K +0.385%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Casumo | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -16.27%E -2.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.53%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV +1.31%E +0.297%K +0.385%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -16.27%E -2.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.53%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV +1.31%E +0.297%K +0.385%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -16.27%E -2.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.53%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV +1.31%E +0.297%K +0.385%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| DraftKings | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -6.23%E -0.890%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.44%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -0.994%E -0.231%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -19.62%E -3.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -2.15%E -0.505%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -19.62%E -3.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -2.15%E -0.505%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| LeoVegas | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -19.62%E -3.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -2.15%E -0.505%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -19.62%E -3.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -2.15%E -0.505%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -5.90%E -3.99%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.30%E -0.785%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 00:04 |
| Bovada | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -5.90%E -3.99%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.30%E -0.785%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 00:23 |
| betfred_uk | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -3.30%E -0.785%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Pinnacle | 6.98I 14.33%NM 13.57%EV -6.49%E -0.930%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.59%EV -5.27%E -3.53%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.83%EV -4.45%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| 1xBet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV +0.471%E +0.063%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -5.90%E -3.99%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -5.60%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 00:19 |
| Coolbet | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.85%EV -0.868%E -0.117%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.38%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -7.90%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 20:40 |
| SportsBet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-06 00:15 |
| Paddy Power | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-06 00:15 |
| NordicBet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -14.26%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.11%EV -5.27%E -3.53%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| Coral | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -22.97%E -4.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -5.90%E -3.99%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| Sky Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.68%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -19.62%E -3.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.80%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-06 00:04 |
| 888sport | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -6.23%E -0.890%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| William Hill | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -6.23%E -0.890%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -6.23%E -0.890%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -6.23%E -0.890%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| Matchbook | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.83% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16% | 2.6% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |