L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Recoleta FC v Santos
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Recoleta FC (Local)
Prévision 13.40%7.46cote équitable
EV +0.471%
Avantage +0.063%
Kelly +0.072%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 7.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.66%13.47%13.57%15.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.756.526.507.5017.39%15.34%15.38%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Santos (Visiteur)
Prévision 63.58%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -5.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.09%63.56%63.54%64.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.461.461.5371.43%68.64%68.73%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.02%4.34cote équitable
EV +3.61%
Avantage +0.802%
Kelly +1.03%
Croissance +0.037%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.37%22.97%22.89%23.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.124.184.5026.32%24.28%23.95%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.94%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +3.61%E +0.802%K +1.03%G +0.037% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 00:05 |
| Unibet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -16.27%E -2.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.53%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV +1.31%E +0.297%K +0.385%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Casumo | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -16.27%E -2.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.53%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV +1.31%E +0.297%K +0.385%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -16.27%E -2.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.53%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV +1.31%E +0.297%K +0.385%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -16.27%E -2.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.53%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV +1.31%E +0.297%K +0.385%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| DraftKings | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -6.23%E -0.890%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.44%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -0.994%E -0.231%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -19.62%E -3.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -2.15%E -0.505%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -19.62%E -3.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -2.15%E -0.505%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| LeoVegas | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -19.62%E -3.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -2.15%E -0.505%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -19.62%E -3.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -2.15%E -0.505%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -5.90%E -3.99%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.30%E -0.785%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 00:04 |
| Bovada | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -5.90%E -3.99%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.30%E -0.785%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 00:23 |
| betfred_uk | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -3.30%E -0.785%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Pinnacle | 6.98I 14.33%NM 13.57%EV -6.49%E -0.930%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.59%EV -5.27%E -3.53%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.83%EV -4.45%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| 1xBet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV +0.471%E +0.063%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -5.90%E -3.99%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -5.60%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 00:19 |
| Coolbet | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.85%EV -0.868%E -0.117%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.38%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -7.90%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 20:40 |
| SportsBet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-06 00:15 |
| Paddy Power | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-06 00:15 |
| NordicBet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -14.26%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.11%EV -5.27%E -3.53%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| Coral | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -22.97%E -4.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -5.90%E -3.99%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| Sky Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.68%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -19.62%E -3.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.80%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-06 00:04 |
| 888sport | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -6.23%E -0.890%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| William Hill | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -6.23%E -0.890%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -6.23%E -0.890%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -6.23%E -0.890%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| Matchbook | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.83% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16% | 2.6% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |