Die Schule der QuotenDeutsch
Recoleta FC v Santos
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Recoleta FC (Heim)
Prognose 13.40%7.46faire Quote
EV +0.471%
Vorteil +0.063%
Kelly +0.072%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 7.50
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
12.66%13.47%13.57%15.72%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.756.526.507.5017.39%15.34%15.38%13.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Santos (Auswärts)
Prognose 63.58%1.57faire Quote
EV -2.72%
Vorteil -1.78%
Kelly -5.14%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.53
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
61.09%63.56%63.54%64.44%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.401.461.461.5371.43%68.64%68.73%65.36%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Unentschieden
Prognose 23.02%4.34faire Quote
EV +3.61%
Vorteil +0.802%
Kelly +1.03%
Wachstum +0.037%
bei einer Höchstquote von 4.50
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.37%22.97%22.89%23.91%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.804.124.184.5026.32%24.28%23.95%22.22%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Wettanbieterquoten (26 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Unentschieden ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.94%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.72%E -1.78%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +3.61%E +0.802%K +1.03%G +0.037% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 00:05 |
| Unibet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -16.27%E -2.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.53%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV +1.31%E +0.297%K +0.385%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Casumo | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -16.27%E -2.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.53%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV +1.31%E +0.297%K +0.385%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -16.27%E -2.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.53%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV +1.31%E +0.297%K +0.385%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -16.27%E -2.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.53%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV +1.31%E +0.297%K +0.385%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| DraftKings | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -6.23%E -0.890%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.44%EV -6.54%E -4.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -0.994%E -0.231%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -19.62%E -3.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -2.15%E -0.505%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -19.62%E -3.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -2.15%E -0.505%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| LeoVegas | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -19.62%E -3.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -2.15%E -0.505%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -19.62%E -3.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -9.08%E -6.35%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -2.15%E -0.505%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -5.90%E -3.99%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.30%E -0.785%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 00:04 |
| Bovada | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -5.90%E -3.99%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.30%E -0.785%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 00:23 |
| betfred_uk | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -3.30%E -0.785%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Pinnacle | 6.98I 14.33%NM 13.57%EV -6.49%E -0.930%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.59%EV -5.27%E -3.53%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.83%EV -4.45%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| 1xBet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV +0.471%E +0.063%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -5.90%E -3.99%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -5.60%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 00:19 |
| Coolbet | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.85%EV -0.868%E -0.117%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.38%EV -4.63%E -3.09%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -7.90%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 20:40 |
| SportsBet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-06 00:15 |
| Paddy Power | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -7.90%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-06 00:15 |
| NordicBet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -14.26%E -2.23%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.11%EV -5.27%E -3.53%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| Coral | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -22.97%E -4.00%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -5.90%E -3.99%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-06 00:20 |
| Sky Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.68%EV -12.93%E -1.99%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -19.62%E -3.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.80%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-06 00:04 |
| 888sport | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -6.23%E -0.890%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| William Hill | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -6.23%E -0.890%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -6.23%E -0.890%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -6.23%E -0.890%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.51%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-06 00:24 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (5)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Unentschieden | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| Matchbook | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.83% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16% | 2.6% | 2026-05-06 00:25 |