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O'Higgins v Boca Juniors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
O'Higgins (Local)
Prediction 21.89%4.57fair odd
EV -0.392%
Edge -0.086%
Kelly -0.110%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.33%21.85%21.93%24.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.224.204.5526.67%23.70%23.81%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boca Juniors (Visit)
Prediction 48.98%2.04fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.96%49.05%49.02%50.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.891.881.9755.87%52.87%53.19%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.13%3.43fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.544%
Kelly -0.774%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.20%29.10%29.05%29.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.153.3733.33%31.66%31.75%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: O'Higgins (Local): 21.89%; Boca Juniors (Visit): 48.98%; Draw: 29.13%. For O'Higgins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.55, with an expected value of -0.392%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33%EV -0.392%E -0.086%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.26%EV -3.51%E -1.78%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-31 00:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.50%EV -3.24%E -0.733%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.29%EV -7.43%E -3.93%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.20%EV -1.83%E -0.544%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-31 00:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -3.68%E -0.835%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.69%EV -3.51%E -1.78%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.51%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 00:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -5.47%E -2.83%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.83%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -5.47%E -2.83%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -5.47%E -2.83%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 00:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -5.47%E -2.83%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.43%EV -8.90%E -4.78%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-31 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.25%EV -4.98%E -2.57%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.04%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-31 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-31 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.45%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.16%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.45%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.16%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.45%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.16%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.45%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.16%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.39%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-31 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.39%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-31 00:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.39%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-31 00:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -10.37%E -5.67%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-31 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -10.24%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.88%EV -12.33%E -6.89%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-31 00:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -10.37%E -5.67%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-31 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.62%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.39%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-31 00:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -17.91%E -4.77%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-31 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 0.2% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 0.2% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 0.2% | 2026-07-31 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 00:20 |
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