L’École des cotes

O'Higgins v Boca Juniors

2026-07-31 00:30 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

Résultat du match

27 opérateurs (5 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

O'Higgins (Local)

Prévision 23.99%4.17cote équitable
EV +2.69%
Avantage +0.628%
Kelly +0.819%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 4.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.53%23.86%24.05%25.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.813.804.2829.41%26.22%26.32%23.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boca Juniors (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.02%2.08cote équitable
EV +0.841%
Avantage +0.400%
Kelly +0.764%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.49%48.17%47.97%49.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.961.952.1054.64%51.07%51.28%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.99%3.57cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -0.665%
Kelly -0.932%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.53%27.97%27.97%29.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.233.203.4933.33%30.96%31.25%28.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (27 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.28I 23.36%NM 22.90%EV +2.69%E +0.628%K +0.819%G +0.022%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 28.09%EV -2.32%E -0.665%K -0.932%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-25 02:20
Pinnacle4.15I 24.10%NM 22.53%EV -0.432%E -0.104%K -0.137%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -9.72%E -5.17%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.74%EV -5.68%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 02:00
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 03:12
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.80%E -4.06%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 01:10
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.98%EV +0.841%E +0.400%K +0.764%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.26%EV -7.64%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-24 14:05
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.64%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 00:35
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 03:10
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 03:10
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 03:10
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 03:10
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.63%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.32%E -3.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -7.64%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 05:50
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -3.44%E -0.997%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 13:50
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -2.04%E -1.00%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 14:05
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -2.04%E -1.00%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 14:05
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -2.04%E -1.00%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 14:05
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -2.04%E -1.00%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 14:05
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -7.32%E -3.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.64%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 00:33
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 18:59
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.09%EV -5.88%E -3.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.64%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 23:55
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.64%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 00:35
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -4.92%E -2.49%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 14:05
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -4.92%E -2.49%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 14:05
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -5.40%E -2.74%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -5.40%E -2.74%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 14:05
Unibet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -12.43%E -3.40%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.02%EV -12.12%E -6.63%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.84%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 05:50
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.63%E -3.79%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 03:10
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -18.43%E -5.42%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -16.03%E -5.34%K -8.02%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-24 23:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%7.1%2026-07-25 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%7.1%2026-07-25 21:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%7.1%2026-07-25 19:20
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 24.16%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.40%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%13.4%2026-07-25 05:50
Arbitrage (2 combinaisons) +0.36%1xBet 4.28 (23.4%) / ATG (SE) 2.10 (47.8%) / 1xBet 3.49 (28.8%)Afficher les 2 combinaisons
O'Higgins (Local)Boca Juniors (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
1xBet 4.28 (23.4%)ATG (SE) 2.10 (47.8%)1xBet 3.49 (28.8%)+0.364%
1xBet 4.28 (23.4%)ATG (SE) 2.10 (47.6%)Coolbet 3.45 (29.0%)+0.031%