Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

O'Higgins v Boca Juniors

Inizio: 2026-07-31 00:30 UTC

Finale: O'Higgins 1–0 Boca Juniors

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

27 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

O'Higgins (Casa)

Previsione 21.89%4.57quota equa
EV -0.392%
Vantaggio -0.086%
Kelly -0.110%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.33%21.85%21.93%24.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.224.204.5526.67%23.70%23.81%21.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Boca Juniors (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.98%2.04quota equa
EV -3.51%
Vantaggio -1.78%
Kelly -3.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.96%49.05%49.02%50.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.791.891.881.9755.87%52.87%53.19%50.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.13%3.43quota equa
EV -1.83%
Vantaggio -0.544%
Kelly -0.774%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.20%29.10%29.05%29.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.163.153.3733.33%31.66%31.75%29.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: O'Higgins (Casa): 21.89%; Boca Juniors (Trasferta): 48.98%; Pareggio: 29.13%. Per O'Higgins (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.57. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.55, con un valore atteso del -0.392%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33%EV -0.392%E -0.086%K -0.110%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.26%EV -3.51%E -1.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-31 00:24
1xBet🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.50%EV -3.24%E -0.733%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.29%EV -7.43%E -3.93%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.20%EV -1.83%E -0.544%K -0.774%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 00:24
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -3.68%E -0.835%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.69%EV -3.51%E -1.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.51%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 00:24
LeoVegas🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -5.47%E -2.83%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 00:20
DraftKings🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 00:20
Bovada🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.83%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -5.47%E -2.83%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 00:25
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -5.47%E -2.83%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 00:24
Svenska Spel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -5.47%E -2.83%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 00:25
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.43%EV -8.90%E -4.78%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 00:20
Unibet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.25%EV -4.98%E -2.57%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 00:25
NordicBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.04%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 00:20
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 00:05
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -6.45%E -3.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.45%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.16%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-31 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.45%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.16%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-31 00:25
PMU (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.45%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.16%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-31 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.45%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.16%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-31 00:25
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.39%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 00:24
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.39%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 00:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.39%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-31 00:24
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -10.37%E -5.67%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-31 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -10.24%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.88%EV -12.33%E -6.89%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-31 00:05
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -10.37%E -5.67%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-31 00:20
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.62%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.39%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-31 00:10
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -17.91%E -4.77%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-31 00:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34%0.2%2026-07-31 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34%0.2%2026-07-31 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34%0.2%2026-07-31 00:25
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12%1.0%2026-07-31 00:20