赔率学院

Nacional Asunción (Par) v Recoleta FC

开赛时间： 2026-03-05 22:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Nacional Asunción (Par) (主队)

预测 52.18%1.92公平赔率
EV -3.46%
优势 -1.87%
Kelly -4.07%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
50.61%52.28%52.25%53.81%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.701.761.751.8558.82%56.97%57.14%54.05%MIN均值中位数MAX

Recoleta FC (客队)

预测 19.77%5.06公平赔率
EV +1.62%
优势 +0.316%
Kelly +0.392%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 5.14

博彩公司预测分布
18.17%19.69%19.69%21.22%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.204.794.755.1423.81%20.88%21.05%19.46%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 28.05%3.57公平赔率
EV -1.84%
优势 -0.525%
Kelly -0.735%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.98%28.03%28.06%28.82%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.103.323.353.5032.26%30.10%29.85%28.57%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -8.16%E -4.64%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.42%EV +1.62%E +0.316%K +0.392%G +0.006%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.77%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 21:55
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.95%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 19.04%EV +0.633%E +0.124%K +0.155%G +0.001%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.01%EV -2.96%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-05 21:50
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -11.29%E -6.64%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -1.15%E -0.229%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 21:50
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -11.29%E -6.64%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -1.15%E -0.229%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-05 21:50
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.28%EV -6.59%E -3.68%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -3.12%E -0.637%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -1.84%E -0.525%K -0.735%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 21:30
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.64%E -4.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -3.12%E -0.637%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 21:30
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.64%E -4.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -3.12%E -0.637%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 21:30
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.64%E -4.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -3.12%E -0.637%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 21:30
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.64%E -4.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -3.12%E -0.637%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 21:30
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.64%E -4.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -1.84%E -0.525%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 21:50
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.56%EV -11.29%E -6.64%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-05 21:50
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.17%EV -9.72%E -5.62%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.04%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 21:30
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 21:55
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 21:55
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 21:54
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.91%EV -7.11%E -4.00%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 21:45
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.35%EV -10.77%E -6.30%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.04%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 21:30
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 53.35%EV -10.77%E -6.30%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.04%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.35%EV -10.77%E -6.30%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.04%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 21:30
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.61%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.58%EV -10.04%E -2.21%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 11:25
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 21:45
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-05 21:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.61%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.15%0.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.45%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.4%2026-03-05 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.28%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-03-05 21:55
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.28%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-03-05 21:55
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.34%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.83%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.83%4.1%2026-03-05 21:50