L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Nacional Asunción (Par) v Recoleta FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nacional Asunción (Par) (Local)
Prévision 52.18%1.92cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -1.87%
Kelly -4.07%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.61%52.28%52.25%53.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.761.751.8558.82%56.97%57.14%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Recoleta FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.77%5.06cote équitable
EV +1.62%
Avantage +0.316%
Kelly +0.392%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 5.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.17%19.69%19.69%21.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.794.755.1423.81%20.88%21.05%19.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.05%3.57cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.525%
Kelly -0.735%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.98%28.03%28.06%28.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.323.353.5032.26%30.10%29.85%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (23 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -8.16%E -4.64%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.42%EV +1.62%E +0.316%K +0.392%G +0.006% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.77%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.95%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 19.04%EV +0.633%E +0.124%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.01%EV -2.96%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -11.29%E -6.64%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -1.15%E -0.229%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -11.29%E -6.64%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -1.15%E -0.229%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.28%EV -6.59%E -3.68%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -3.12%E -0.637%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -1.84%E -0.525%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.64%E -4.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -3.12%E -0.637%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Unibet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.64%E -4.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -3.12%E -0.637%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Casumo | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.64%E -4.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -3.12%E -0.637%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.64%E -4.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -3.12%E -0.637%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.64%E -4.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -1.84%E -0.525%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.56%EV -11.29%E -6.64%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.17%EV -9.72%E -5.62%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.04%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.91%EV -7.11%E -4.00%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.35%EV -10.77%E -6.30%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.04%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.35%EV -10.77%E -6.30%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.04%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.35%EV -10.77%E -6.30%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.04%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.61%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.58%EV -10.04%E -2.21%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.61% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.15% | 0.1% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.45% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.28% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98% | 0.7% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.28% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98% | 0.7% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.34% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.83% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.83% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |