La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Nacional Asunción (Par) v Recoleta FC
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Nacional Asunción (Par) (Casa)
Previsione 52.18%1.92quota equa
EV -3.46%
Vantaggio -1.87%
Kelly -4.07%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.61%52.28%52.25%53.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.761.751.8558.82%56.97%57.14%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Recoleta FC (Trasferta)
Previsione 19.77%5.06quota equa
EV +1.62%
Vantaggio +0.316%
Kelly +0.392%
Crescita +0.006%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.14
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.17%19.69%19.69%21.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.794.755.1423.81%20.88%21.05%19.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 28.05%3.57quota equa
EV -1.84%
Vantaggio -0.525%
Kelly -0.735%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.98%28.03%28.06%28.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.323.353.5032.26%30.10%29.85%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -8.16%E -4.64%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.42%EV +1.62%E +0.316%K +0.392%G +0.006% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.77%EV -4.36%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.95%EV -4.51%E -2.46%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 19.04%EV +0.633%E +0.124%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.01%EV -2.96%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -11.29%E -6.64%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -1.15%E -0.229%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -11.29%E -6.64%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -1.15%E -0.229%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.28%EV -6.59%E -3.68%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -3.12%E -0.637%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -1.84%E -0.525%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.64%E -4.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -3.12%E -0.637%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Unibet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.64%E -4.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -3.12%E -0.637%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Casumo | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.64%E -4.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -3.12%E -0.637%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.64%E -4.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -3.12%E -0.637%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.24%E -0.939%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.64%E -4.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -1.84%E -0.525%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.56%EV -11.29%E -6.64%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -5.10%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.17%EV -9.72%E -5.62%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.04%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -6.09%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.91%EV -7.11%E -4.00%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.35%EV -10.77%E -6.30%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.04%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.35%EV -10.77%E -6.30%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.04%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.35%EV -10.77%E -6.30%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -7.08%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.04%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.61%EV -3.46%E -1.87%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.58%EV -10.04%E -2.21%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -6.07%E -3.37%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -11.03%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.68%E -4.96%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -16.96%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.61% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.15% | 0.1% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.45% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.28% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98% | 0.7% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.28% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98% | 0.7% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.34% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.83% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.83% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |