赔率学院

Millonarios v Sao Paulo

开赛时间： 2026-04-29 00:30 UTC

最终结果： Millonarios 0–0 Sao Paulo

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (3 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Millonarios (主队)

预测 37.70%2.65公平赔率
EV -5.74%
优势 -2.30%
Kelly -3.83%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
37.14%37.70%37.94%38.84%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.302.422.432.5043.48%41.39%41.15%40.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

Sao Paulo (客队)

预测 31.78%3.15公平赔率
EV +0.110%
优势 +0.035%
Kelly +0.051%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
30.82%31.78%31.79%32.66%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.702.912.903.1537.04%34.33%34.48%31.75%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 30.52%3.28公平赔率
EV -2.35%
优势 -0.734%
Kelly -1.07%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
29.79%30.52%30.27%31.41%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.803.023.003.2035.71%33.15%33.33%31.25%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -2.35%E -0.734%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 22:39
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 22:40
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 22:40
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 22:40
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 22:40
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 23:19
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.87%EV -7.25%E -2.95%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%EV -5.93%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.65%EV -7.23%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:09
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 22:39
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 22:40
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 22:40
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 23:48
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 22:09
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 22:09
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 22:09
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 22:09
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -8.47%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:34
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -6.50%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.66%EV -10.38%E -3.68%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 18:39
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-15 21:09
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-16 16:05
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 08:15
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 18:39
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 00:34
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -14.19%E -5.26%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -14.56%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-15 21:14
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 37.77%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.13%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.11%16.1%2026-04-22 04:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56%1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.88%168.5%2026-04-22 15:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56%1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.88%168.5%2026-04-22 15:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56%1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.88%168.5%2026-04-22 15:09