L’École des cotesFrançais
Millonarios v Sao Paulo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Millonarios (Local)
Prévision 37.70%2.65cote équitable
EV -5.74%
Avantage -2.30%
Kelly -3.83%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.14%37.70%37.94%38.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.422.432.5043.48%41.39%41.15%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sao Paulo (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.78%3.15cote équitable
EV +0.110%
Avantage +0.035%
Kelly +0.051%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.82%31.78%31.79%32.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.912.903.1537.04%34.33%34.48%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.52%3.28cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -0.734%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.79%30.52%30.27%31.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.023.003.2035.71%33.15%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (24 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -2.35%E -0.734%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 22:39 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 23:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.87%EV -7.25%E -2.95%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%EV -5.93%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.65%EV -7.23%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 01:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| Bovada | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-20 23:48 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -8.47%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -6.50%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.66%EV -10.38%E -3.68%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 18:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-15 21:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 08:15 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 18:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-23 00:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -14.19%E -5.26%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -14.56%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-15 21:14 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 37.77% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.13% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 30.11% | 16.1% | 2026-04-22 04:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.88% | 168.5% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.88% | 168.5% | 2026-04-22 15:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.88% | 168.5% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |