La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Millonarios v Sao Paulo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Millonarios (Casa)
Previsione 37.70%2.65quota equa
EV -5.74%
Vantaggio -2.30%
Kelly -3.83%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.14%37.70%37.94%38.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.422.432.5043.48%41.39%41.15%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Sao Paulo (Trasferta)
Previsione 31.78%3.15quota equa
EV +0.110%
Vantaggio +0.035%
Kelly +0.051%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.82%31.78%31.79%32.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.912.903.1537.04%34.33%34.48%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 30.52%3.28quota equa
EV -2.35%
Vantaggio -0.734%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.79%30.52%30.27%31.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.023.003.2035.71%33.15%33.33%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%EV +0.110%E +0.035%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.34%EV -2.35%E -0.734%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 22:39 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -3.88%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 23:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.87%EV -7.25%E -2.95%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%EV -5.93%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.65%EV -7.23%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 01:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| Bovada | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-20 23:48 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -7.83%E -2.70%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -8.47%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -6.50%E -2.62%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.66%EV -10.38%E -3.68%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 18:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-15 21:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.01%E -3.93%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 08:15 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 18:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -12.60%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-23 00:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -14.19%E -5.26%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -14.56%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-15 21:14 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 37.77% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.13% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 30.11% | 16.1% | 2026-04-22 04:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.88% | 168.5% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.88% | 168.5% | 2026-04-22 15:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 36.88% | 168.5% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |