Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Lanus v Club Cienciano
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Lanus (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 72.55%1.38kurs godziwy
EV -4.96%
Przewaga -3.79%
Kelly -16.01%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.31
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
71.24%72.71%72.49%74.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.221.271.271.3181.97%78.72%78.74%76.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Club Cienciano (Goście)
Prognoza 8.70%11.49kurs godziwy
EV +8.81%
Przewaga +0.704%
Kelly +0.766%
Wzrost +0.067%
przy maksymalnym kursie 12.50
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
7.41%8.66%8.74%9.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
9.0010.7411.0012.5011.11%9.31%9.09%8.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 18.75%5.33kurs godziwy
EV +4.99%
Przewaga +0.891%
Kelly +1.08%
Wzrost +0.054%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.60
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
17.17%18.62%18.77%20.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.455.065.005.6022.47%19.78%20.00%17.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (28 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.78%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV +8.81%E +0.704%K +0.766%G +0.067% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -16.57%E -3.72%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.96%EV -8.59%E -6.82%K -33.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +4.45%E +0.371%K +0.405%G +0.018% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.11%E +0.566%K +0.692%G +0.022% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.32%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 11.74I 8.52%NM 8.07%EV +2.19%E +0.187%K +0.204%G +0.004% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.61%EV -9.45%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +0.101%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.26%EV +4.99%E +0.891%K +1.08%G +0.054% | 3.5% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.32%EV -7.86%E -6.19%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.21%EV +0.101%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +1.24%E +0.229%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.32%EV -7.86%E -6.19%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.21%EV +0.101%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +1.24%E +0.229%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.32%EV -7.86%E -6.19%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.21%EV +0.101%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +1.24%E +0.229%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.32%EV -7.86%E -6.19%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.21%EV +0.101%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +1.24%E +0.229%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.16%EV -1.76%E -0.336%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -9.32%E -7.45%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -9.32%E -7.45%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -10.77%E -8.75%K -46.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -2.51%E -0.483%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -10.77%E -8.75%K -46.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -2.51%E -0.483%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -10.77%E -8.75%K -46.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -2.51%E -0.483%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -10.77%E -8.75%K -46.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -2.51%E -0.483%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.79%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.60%E -0.819%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -2.51%E -0.483%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV -8.60%E -0.819%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.77%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -2.51%E -0.483%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 00:23 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.52%EV -11.49%E -9.42%K -52.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.85%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.63%EV -10.95%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.70%EV -10.77%E -8.75%K -46.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.41%EV -17.31%E -1.82%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.26%EV -9.32%E -7.45%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.38%EV -17.31%E -1.82%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -13.76%E -2.99%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -9.32%E -7.45%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -21.66%E -2.41%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -10.01%E -2.09%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (4)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.80% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.80% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.80% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.61% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |