L’École des cotesLanus v Club Cienciano
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lanus (Local)
Prévision 72.55%1.38cote équitable
EV -4.96%
Avantage -3.79%
Kelly -16.01%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.24%72.71%72.49%74.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.271.271.3181.97%78.72%78.74%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Club Cienciano (Visiteur)
Prévision 8.70%11.49cote équitable
EV +8.81%
Avantage +0.704%
Kelly +0.766%
Croissance +0.067%
avec la cote maximale 12.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.41%8.66%8.74%9.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.0010.7411.0012.5011.11%9.31%9.09%8.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 18.75%5.33cote équitable
EV +4.99%
Avantage +0.891%
Kelly +1.08%
Croissance +0.054%
avec la cote maximale 5.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.17%18.62%18.77%20.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.455.065.005.6022.47%19.78%20.00%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.78%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV +8.81%E +0.704%K +0.766%G +0.067% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -16.57%E -3.72%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.96%EV -8.59%E -6.82%K -33.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +4.45%E +0.371%K +0.405%G +0.018% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.11%E +0.566%K +0.692%G +0.022% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.32%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 11.74I 8.52%NM 8.07%EV +2.19%E +0.187%K +0.204%G +0.004% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.61%EV -9.45%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +0.101%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.26%EV +4.99%E +0.891%K +1.08%G +0.054% | 3.5% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.32%EV -7.86%E -6.19%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.21%EV +0.101%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +1.24%E +0.229%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.32%EV -7.86%E -6.19%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.21%EV +0.101%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +1.24%E +0.229%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.32%EV -7.86%E -6.19%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.21%EV +0.101%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +1.24%E +0.229%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.32%EV -7.86%E -6.19%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.21%EV +0.101%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +1.24%E +0.229%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.16%EV -1.76%E -0.336%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -9.32%E -7.45%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -9.32%E -7.45%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -10.77%E -8.75%K -46.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -2.51%E -0.483%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -10.77%E -8.75%K -46.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -2.51%E -0.483%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -10.77%E -8.75%K -46.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -2.51%E -0.483%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -10.77%E -8.75%K -46.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -2.51%E -0.483%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.79%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.60%E -0.819%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -2.51%E -0.483%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV -8.60%E -0.819%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.77%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -2.51%E -0.483%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 00:23 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.52%EV -11.49%E -9.42%K -52.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.85%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.63%EV -10.95%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.70%EV -10.77%E -8.75%K -46.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.41%EV -17.31%E -1.82%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.26%EV -9.32%E -7.45%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.38%EV -17.31%E -1.82%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -13.76%E -2.99%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -9.32%E -7.45%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -21.66%E -2.41%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -10.01%E -2.09%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.80% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.80% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.80% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.61% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |