La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lanus v Club Cienciano
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lanus (Local)
Predicción 72.55%1.38momio equitativo
EV -4.96%
Ventaja -3.79%
Kelly -16.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.24%72.71%72.49%74.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.271.271.3181.97%78.72%78.74%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Club Cienciano (Visitante)
Predicción 8.70%11.49momio equitativo
EV +8.81%
Ventaja +0.704%
Kelly +0.766%
Crecimiento +0.067%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.41%8.66%8.74%9.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
9.0010.7411.0012.5011.11%9.31%9.09%8.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.75%5.33momio equitativo
EV +4.99%
Ventaja +0.891%
Kelly +1.08%
Crecimiento +0.054%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.17%18.62%18.77%20.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.455.065.005.6022.47%19.78%20.00%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.78%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV +8.81%E +0.704%K +0.766%G +0.067% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -16.57%E -3.72%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.96%EV -8.59%E -6.82%K -33.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +4.45%E +0.371%K +0.405%G +0.018% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.11%E +0.566%K +0.692%G +0.022% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 22:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.32%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 11.74I 8.52%NM 8.07%EV +2.19%E +0.187%K +0.204%G +0.004% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.61%EV -9.45%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV +0.101%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.26%EV +4.99%E +0.891%K +1.08%G +0.054% | 3.5% | 2026-07-23 00:00 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.32%EV -7.86%E -6.19%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.21%EV +0.101%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +1.24%E +0.229%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.32%EV -7.86%E -6.19%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.21%EV +0.101%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +1.24%E +0.229%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.32%EV -7.86%E -6.19%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.21%EV +0.101%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +1.24%E +0.229%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.32%EV -7.86%E -6.19%K -29.13%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.21%EV +0.101%E +0.009%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +1.24%E +0.229%K +0.282%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.16%EV -1.76%E -0.336%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.56%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -9.32%E -7.45%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -9.32%E -7.45%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -10.77%E -8.75%K -46.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -2.51%E -0.483%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -10.77%E -8.75%K -46.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -2.51%E -0.483%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -10.77%E -8.75%K -46.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -2.51%E -0.483%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 23:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -10.77%E -8.75%K -46.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV -4.25%E -0.386%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -2.51%E -0.483%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 23:44 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.79%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -8.60%E -0.819%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -2.51%E -0.483%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV -8.60%E -0.819%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.77%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -2.51%E -0.483%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.41%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-23 00:23 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.95%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.52%EV -11.49%E -9.42%K -52.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.85%EV -12.96%E -1.30%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.63%EV -10.95%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.70%EV -10.77%E -8.75%K -46.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.41%EV -17.31%E -1.82%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.26%EV -9.32%E -7.45%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.38%EV -17.31%E -1.82%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -13.76%E -2.99%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -9.32%E -7.45%K -37.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -21.66%E -2.41%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -10.01%E -2.09%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.80% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.80% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.80% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.11% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.61% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-07-23 00:25 |