La scuola delle quote

Clube Atlético Mineiro v Puerto Cabello

Inizio: 2026-05-27 22:00 UTC

Finale: Clube Atlético Mineiro 1–0 Puerto Cabello

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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26 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Clube Atlético Mineiro (Casa)

Previsione 72.90%1.37quota equa
EV -3.04%
Vantaggio -2.29%
Kelly -9.21%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.49%72.82%72.82%75.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.271.271.3381.97%78.91%78.74%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Puerto Cabello (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.78%11.38quota equa
EV +14.19%
Vantaggio +1.09%
Kelly +1.18%
Crescita +0.168%

ipotizzando la quota massima 13.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.51%8.73%8.95%10.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.7010.9011.0013.0011.49%9.17%9.09%7.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 18.31%5.46quota equa
EV +2.56%
Vantaggio +0.457%
Kelly +0.556%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.43%18.46%18.24%20.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.065.105.6021.74%19.78%19.61%17.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.07%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.42%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.51%EV +14.19%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.168%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.43%EV +2.56%E +0.457%K +0.556%G +0.014%2.5%2026-05-27 21:10
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.77%EV -5.96%E -4.62%K -20.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +5.41%E +0.451%K +0.492%G +0.027%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -4.77%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 08:00
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.72%EV -8.14%E -6.46%K -31.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +5.41%E +0.451%K +0.492%G +0.027%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -1.11%E -0.205%K -0.251%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 21:10
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 74.72%EV -8.14%E -6.46%K -31.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +5.41%E +0.451%K +0.492%G +0.027%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -1.11%E -0.205%K -0.251%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 21:19
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.72%EV -8.14%E -6.46%K -31.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +5.41%E +0.451%K +0.492%G +0.027%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -1.11%E -0.205%K -0.251%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 21:19
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 74.72%EV -8.14%E -6.46%K -31.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +5.41%E +0.451%K +0.492%G +0.027%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -1.11%E -0.205%K -0.251%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 21:10
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 74.06%EV -6.69%E -5.22%K -23.88%G +0.000%11.67I 8.57%NM 8.12%EV +2.51%E +0.215%K +0.235%G +0.006%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.82%EV -2.57%E -0.483%K -0.595%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +1.02%E +0.088%K +0.097%G +0.001%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -4.77%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-27 21:10
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +1.02%E +0.088%K +0.097%G +0.001%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -4.77%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-27 21:20
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +1.02%E +0.088%K +0.097%G +0.001%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -4.77%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-27 21:19
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +1.02%E +0.088%K +0.097%G +0.001%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -4.77%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-27 21:19
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +1.02%E +0.088%K +0.097%G +0.001%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -4.77%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-27 21:10
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.35%EV -3.04%E -2.29%K -9.21%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -3.37%E -0.307%K -0.337%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.02%EV -13.19%E -2.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 21:50
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 71.55%EV -5.96%E -4.62%K -20.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -3.37%E -0.307%K -0.337%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -15.76%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 19:59
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -3.37%E -0.307%K -0.337%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -8.43%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-27 20:20
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.96%E -4.62%K -20.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -7.77%E -0.740%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -3.85%E -0.734%K -0.907%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 20:59
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -12.16%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.43%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 21:40
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.16%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -13.01%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 21:50
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.16%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -13.01%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 21:49
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.16%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -13.01%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 21:50
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.16%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -13.01%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 21:50
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -12.16%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -8.43%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-27 21:28
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -5.96%E -4.62%K -20.54%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV -13.92%E -1.42%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -9.35%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 20:10
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 70.90%EV -3.77%E -2.86%K -11.78%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.60%EV -14.35%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -12.09%E -2.52%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 21:49
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 72.33%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.29%EV -16.55%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -12.09%E -2.52%K -3.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-27 20:39
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 70.49%EV -8.14%E -6.46%K -31.32%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.21%EV -23.58%E -2.71%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.76%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-27 21:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 75.81%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-05-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.81%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-05-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.81%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-05-27 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.81%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-05-27 21:50