L’École des cotesFrançais
Clube Atlético Mineiro v Puerto Cabello
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Clube Atlético Mineiro (Local)
Prévision 72.90%1.37cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -2.29%
Kelly -9.21%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.49%72.82%72.82%75.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.271.271.3381.97%78.91%78.74%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Puerto Cabello (Visiteur)
Prévision 8.78%11.38cote équitable
EV +14.19%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.18%
Croissance +0.168%
avec la cote maximale 13.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.51%8.73%8.95%10.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.7010.9011.0013.0011.49%9.17%9.09%7.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 18.31%5.46cote équitable
EV +2.56%
Avantage +0.457%
Kelly +0.556%
Croissance +0.014%
avec la cote maximale 5.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.43%18.46%18.24%20.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.065.105.6021.74%19.78%19.61%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.07%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.51%EV +14.19%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.168% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.43%EV +2.56%E +0.457%K +0.556%G +0.014% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.77%EV -5.96%E -4.62%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +5.41%E +0.451%K +0.492%G +0.027% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -4.77%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 08:00 |
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.72%EV -8.14%E -6.46%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +5.41%E +0.451%K +0.492%G +0.027% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -1.11%E -0.205%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| Casumo | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.72%EV -8.14%E -6.46%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +5.41%E +0.451%K +0.492%G +0.027% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -1.11%E -0.205%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.72%EV -8.14%E -6.46%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +5.41%E +0.451%K +0.492%G +0.027% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -1.11%E -0.205%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.72%EV -8.14%E -6.46%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +5.41%E +0.451%K +0.492%G +0.027% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -1.11%E -0.205%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.06%EV -6.69%E -5.22%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 11.67I 8.57%NM 8.12%EV +2.51%E +0.215%K +0.235%G +0.006% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.82%EV -2.57%E -0.483%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +1.02%E +0.088%K +0.097%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -4.77%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +1.02%E +0.088%K +0.097%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -4.77%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +1.02%E +0.088%K +0.097%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -4.77%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +1.02%E +0.088%K +0.097%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -4.77%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +1.02%E +0.088%K +0.097%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -4.77%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.35%EV -3.04%E -2.29%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -3.37%E -0.307%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.02%EV -13.19%E -2.78%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.55%EV -5.96%E -4.62%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -3.37%E -0.307%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -15.76%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-27 19:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -3.37%E -0.307%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -8.43%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-27 20:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.96%E -4.62%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -7.77%E -0.740%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -3.85%E -0.734%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-27 20:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -12.16%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.43%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 21:40 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.16%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -13.01%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.16%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -13.01%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.16%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -13.01%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.16%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -13.01%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -12.16%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -8.43%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-27 21:28 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -5.96%E -4.62%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV -13.92%E -1.42%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -9.35%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.90%EV -3.77%E -2.86%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.60%EV -14.35%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -12.09%E -2.52%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 21:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.33%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.29%EV -16.55%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -12.09%E -2.52%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-27 20:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.49%EV -8.14%E -6.46%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.21%EV -23.58%E -2.71%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.76%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-27 21:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.81% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.81% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.81% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.81% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |