La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Clube Atlético Mineiro v Puerto Cabello
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Clube Atlético Mineiro (Local)
Predicción 72.90%1.37momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -2.29%
Kelly -9.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.49%72.82%72.82%75.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.271.271.3381.97%78.91%78.74%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Puerto Cabello (Visitante)
Predicción 8.78%11.38momio equitativo
EV +14.19%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.168%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.51%8.73%8.95%10.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.7010.9011.0013.0011.49%9.17%9.09%7.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.31%5.46momio equitativo
EV +2.56%
Ventaja +0.457%
Kelly +0.556%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.43%18.46%18.24%20.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.065.105.6021.74%19.78%19.61%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (26 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.07%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.51%EV +14.19%E +1.09%K +1.18%G +0.168% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.43%EV +2.56%E +0.457%K +0.556%G +0.014% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.77%EV -5.96%E -4.62%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +5.41%E +0.451%K +0.492%G +0.027% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -4.77%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 08:00 |
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.72%EV -8.14%E -6.46%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +5.41%E +0.451%K +0.492%G +0.027% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -1.11%E -0.205%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| Casumo | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.72%EV -8.14%E -6.46%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +5.41%E +0.451%K +0.492%G +0.027% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -1.11%E -0.205%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.72%EV -8.14%E -6.46%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +5.41%E +0.451%K +0.492%G +0.027% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -1.11%E -0.205%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.72%EV -8.14%E -6.46%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +5.41%E +0.451%K +0.492%G +0.027% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -1.11%E -0.205%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.06%EV -6.69%E -5.22%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 11.67I 8.57%NM 8.12%EV +2.51%E +0.215%K +0.235%G +0.006% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.82%EV -2.57%E -0.483%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +1.02%E +0.088%K +0.097%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -4.77%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +1.02%E +0.088%K +0.097%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -4.77%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-27 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +1.02%E +0.088%K +0.097%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -4.77%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +1.02%E +0.088%K +0.097%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -4.77%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-27 21:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV +1.02%E +0.088%K +0.097%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -4.77%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-27 21:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.35%EV -3.04%E -2.29%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -3.37%E -0.307%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.02%EV -13.19%E -2.78%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.55%EV -5.96%E -4.62%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -3.37%E -0.307%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -15.76%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-27 19:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -3.37%E -0.307%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -8.43%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-27 20:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.96%E -4.62%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -7.77%E -0.740%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -3.85%E -0.734%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-27 20:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -12.16%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.43%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 21:40 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.16%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -13.01%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.16%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -13.01%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.16%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -13.01%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.24%EV -5.23%E -4.02%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.16%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -13.01%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -12.16%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -8.43%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-27 21:28 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.83%EV -5.96%E -4.62%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.45%EV -13.92%E -1.42%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -9.35%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.90%EV -3.77%E -2.86%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.60%EV -14.35%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -12.09%E -2.52%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 21:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.33%EV -11.06%E -9.07%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.29%EV -16.55%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -12.09%E -2.52%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-27 20:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.49%EV -8.14%E -6.46%K -31.32%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.21%EV -23.58%E -2.71%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.76%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-27 21:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.81% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.81% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.81% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.81% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |